Toledo

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.9%Toledo

54.1%Massachusetts

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMassachusetts -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMassachusetts -118

Massachusetts

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 77

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreMassachusetts 78

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricMassachusetts

53.9MMH Power Index48.7

112.5Offensive Efficiency109.4

106.1Defensive Efficiency107.2

6.4Net Efficiency2.2

-0.9Strength of Schedule-0.9

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

69.4Tempo70.9

52.8%Effective FG%52.3%

16.2%Turnover Rate17.0%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %31.5%

34.4%Free Throw Rate36.3%

4.4Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Massachusetts HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–48.7), offensive efficiency (112.5–109.4), defensive efficiency (106.1–107.2), net efficiency (6.4–2.2).

Massachusetts COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.5–30.7), free throw rate (36.3–34.4).