Oregon State

1-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.4%Oregon State

58.6%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL148.6

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -142

Texas State

1-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon State 73

Projected Total148.6

Projected ScoreTexas State 75

Team Comparison

Oregon StateMetricTexas State

53.292307692307695MMH Power Index51.5899380642093

110.4Offensive Efficiency108.5

104.9Defensive Efficiency105.0

5.5Net Efficiency3.4

-0.2Strength of Schedule0.1

5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

69.0Tempo68.3

52.0%Effective FG%51.9%

16.7%Turnover Rate17.3%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

38.9%Free Throw Rate36.3%

4.3Average Margin2.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOregon State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.3–51.6), offensive efficiency (110.4–108.5), defensive efficiency (104.9–105.0), net efficiency (5.5–3.4).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.1–-0.2), offensive rebounding (31.7–29.8).