Arkansas State

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.8%Arkansas State

46.2%Louisiana Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -116

Louisiana Tech

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 76

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreLouisiana Tech 75

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricLouisiana Tech

55.8MMH Power Index47.4

112.0Offensive Efficiency106.9

104.9Defensive Efficiency106.5

7.1Net Efficiency0.4

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.4

7.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

71.2Tempo67.5

52.2%Effective FG%51.3%

17.4%Turnover Rate17.1%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

36.7%Free Throw Rate35.2%

5.1Average Margin0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–47.4), offensive efficiency (112.0–106.9), defensive efficiency (104.9–106.5), net efficiency (7.1–0.4).

Louisiana Tech COUNTERS WITHball security (17.1–17.4).