Valparaiso

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GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.4%Valparaiso

75.6%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -7.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -310

Illinois State

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MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 71

Projected Total148.4

Projected ScoreIllinois State 78

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricIllinois State

54MMH Power Index59.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency112.9

104.8Defensive Efficiency102.4

5.8Net Efficiency10.5

1.1Strength of Schedule1.1

5.8Last 10 Net Efficiency10.5

68.3Tempo68.3

51.2%Effective FG%52.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.7%

31.2%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

36.8%Free Throw Rate34.8%

3.9Average Margin7.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–54.0), offensive efficiency (112.9–110.6), defensive efficiency (102.4–104.8), net efficiency (10.5–5.8).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHball security (16.4–16.7), offensive rebounding (31.2–30.2), free throw rate (36.8–34.8).