Southern Miss
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
28.4%Southern Miss
71.6%Arkansas State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADArkansas State -6.0
PROJECTED TOTAL154.7
MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -252
Arkansas State
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 74
Projected Total154.7
Projected ScoreArkansas State 80
Team Comparison
53MMH Power Index55.8
110.0Offensive Efficiency112.0
105.1Defensive Efficiency104.9
4.9Net Efficiency7.1
-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.4
4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency7.2
69.7Tempo71.2
51.5%Effective FG%52.2%
17.1%Turnover Rate17.4%
31.2%Offensive Rebound %32.6%
37.8%Free Throw Rate36.7%
3.4Average Margin5.1
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY71.6%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–2
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–53.0), offensive efficiency (112.0–110.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–105.1), net efficiency (7.1–4.9).
Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHball security (17.1–17.4), free throw rate (37.8–36.7).