Drake
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
22.9%Drake
77.1%Illinois State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADIllinois State -7.9
PROJECTED TOTAL149.7
MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -337
Illinois State
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreDrake 71
Projected Total149.7
Projected ScoreIllinois State 79
Team Comparison
53.2MMH Power Index59.8
111.0Offensive Efficiency112.9
105.9Defensive Efficiency102.4
5.1Net Efficiency10.5
1.1Strength of Schedule1.1
5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency10.5
68.8Tempo68.3
52.0%Effective FG%52.6%
16.2%Turnover Rate16.7%
29.9%Offensive Rebound %30.2%
35.4%Free Throw Rate34.8%
3.5Average Margin7.1
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Illinois State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY77.1%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–2
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–53.2), offensive efficiency (112.9–111.0), defensive efficiency (102.4–105.9), net efficiency (10.5–5.1).
Drake COUNTERS WITHball security (16.2–16.7), free throw rate (35.4–34.8).