Virginia

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.4%Virginia

52.6%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -111

North Carolina

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 75

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 76

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricNorth Carolina

65.5MMH Power Index59.7

115.0Offensive Efficiency112.5

102.5Defensive Efficiency104.6

12.5Net Efficiency7.9

5.5Strength of Schedule5.5

12.5Last 10 Net Efficiency7.8

68.3Tempo69.0

52.7%Effective FG%52.6%

16.5%Turnover Rate16.0%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

35.1%Free Throw Rate36.4%

8.6Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.5–59.7), offensive efficiency (115.0–112.5), defensive efficiency (102.5–104.6), net efficiency (12.5–7.9).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHball security (16.0–16.5), free throw rate (36.4–35.1).