UConn

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.1%UConn

34.9%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL153.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -187

Providence

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 79

Projected Total153.8

Projected ScoreProvidence 75

Team Comparison

UConnMetricProvidence

67.4MMH Power Index53.4

114.9Offensive Efficiency110.9

101.0Defensive Efficiency108.4

13.9Net Efficiency2.5

4.4Strength of Schedule4.4

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency2.6

67.6Tempo71.6

52.7%Effective FG%52.7%

16.6%Turnover Rate16.7%

31.9%Offensive Rebound %31.0%

34.5%Free Throw Rate36.2%

9.4Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.4–53.4), offensive efficiency (114.9–110.9), defensive efficiency (101.0–108.4), net efficiency (13.9–2.5).

Providence COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (36.2–34.5).