Texas State
1-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
40.8%Texas State
59.2%Fresno State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADFresno State -2.4
PROJECTED TOTAL148.6
MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -145
Fresno State
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreTexas State 73
Projected Total148.6
Projected ScoreFresno State 76
Team Comparison
51.5899380642093MMH Power Index48.8
108.5Offensive Efficiency108.0
105.0Defensive Efficiency106.7
3.4Net Efficiency1.3
0.1Strength of Schedule0.0
3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.2
68.3Tempo69.2
51.9%Effective FG%51.8%
17.3%Turnover Rate17.1%
31.7%Offensive Rebound %30.1%
36.3%Free Throw Rate35.7%
2.2Average Margin0.9
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Fresno State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY59.2%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
10–1
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.6–48.8), offensive efficiency (108.5–108.0), defensive efficiency (105.0–106.7), net efficiency (3.4–1.3).
Fresno State COUNTERS WITHball security (17.1–17.3).