Arkansas State

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.2%Arkansas State

44.8%Old Dominion

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -1.4

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -123

Old Dominion

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 79

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 77

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricOld Dominion

55.8MMH Power Index47.1

112.0Offensive Efficiency108.4

104.9Defensive Efficiency108.2

7.1Net Efficiency0.2

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.4

7.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.1

71.2Tempo70.0

52.2%Effective FG%51.7%

17.4%Turnover Rate16.4%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

36.7%Free Throw Rate35.6%

5.1Average Margin0.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–47.1), offensive efficiency (112.0–108.4), defensive efficiency (104.9–108.2), net efficiency (7.1–0.2).

Old Dominion COUNTERS WITHball security (16.4–17.4).