Tarleton State

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.3%Tarleton State

57.7%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLittle Rock -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -136

Little Rock

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 75

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 77

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricLittle Rock

48.9MMH Power Index45.3

108.0Offensive Efficiency107.3

105.5Defensive Efficiency107.8

2.5Net Efficiency-0.5

-2.1Strength of Schedule-2.1

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

70.6Tempo68.8

51.2%Effective FG%51.6%

17.5%Turnover Rate17.2%

31.0%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

37.5%Free Throw Rate34.0%

1.7Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTarleton State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.9–45.3), offensive efficiency (108.0–107.3), defensive efficiency (105.5–107.8), net efficiency (2.5–-0.5).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (51.6–51.2), ball security (17.2–17.5), offensive rebounding (31.1–31.0).