Colorado State
1-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
39.6%Colorado State
60.4%Texas State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADTexas State -2.7
PROJECTED TOTAL147.9
MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -153
Texas State
1-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreColorado State 73
Projected Total147.9
Projected ScoreTexas State 75
Team Comparison
53.98526775540772MMH Power Index51.5899380642093
111.8Offensive Efficiency108.5
106.9Defensive Efficiency105.0
4.9Net Efficiency3.4
0.5Strength of Schedule0.1
5.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4
67.4Tempo68.3
54.1%Effective FG%51.9%
17.5%Turnover Rate17.3%
30.1%Offensive Rebound %31.7%
37.4%Free Throw Rate36.3%
3.4Average Margin2.2
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Texas State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY60.4%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–3
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–51.6), offensive efficiency (111.8–108.5), net efficiency (4.9–3.4), strength of schedule (0.5–0.1).
Texas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.0–106.9), ball security (17.3–17.5), offensive rebounding (31.7–30.1).