Louisiana

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.0%Louisiana

79.0%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -376

Arkansas State

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisiana 71

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreArkansas State 79

Team Comparison

LouisianaMetricArkansas State

48.9MMH Power Index55.8

108.1Offensive Efficiency112.0

106.5Defensive Efficiency104.9

1.6Net Efficiency7.1

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.4

1.6Last 10 Net Efficiency7.2

66.6Tempo71.2

50.8%Effective FG%52.2%

16.7%Turnover Rate17.4%

30.1%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

34.2%Free Throw Rate36.7%

1.1Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–48.9), offensive efficiency (112.0–108.1), defensive efficiency (104.9–106.5), net efficiency (7.1–1.6).

Louisiana COUNTERS WITHball security (16.7–17.4).