Boise State

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%Boise State

58.5%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL149.2

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -141

Texas State

1-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 73

Projected Total149.2

Projected ScoreTexas State 76

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricTexas State

54.4MMH Power Index51.5899380642093

111.6Offensive Efficiency108.5

105.9Defensive Efficiency105.0

5.7Net Efficiency3.4

0.0Strength of Schedule0.1

5.8Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

68.8Tempo68.3

52.2%Effective FG%51.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.3%

31.5%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

37.5%Free Throw Rate36.3%

4.0Average Margin2.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.4–51.6), offensive efficiency (111.6–108.5), net efficiency (5.7–3.4), recent form (5.8–3.4).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.0–105.9), strength of schedule (0.1–0.0), offensive rebounding (31.7–31.5).