Illinois

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.0%Illinois

65.0%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -186

North Carolina

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 74

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 78

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricNorth Carolina

62MMH Power Index59.7

115.6Offensive Efficiency112.5

103.7Defensive Efficiency104.6

11.9Net Efficiency7.9

0.0Strength of Schedule5.5

11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency7.8

67.8Tempo69.0

52.7%Effective FG%52.6%

15.8%Turnover Rate16.0%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

35.3%Free Throw Rate36.4%

8.1Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (62.0–59.7), offensive efficiency (115.6–112.5), defensive efficiency (103.7–104.6), net efficiency (11.9–7.9).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.5–0.0), free throw rate (36.4–35.3).