Arkansas State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
44.3%Arkansas State
55.7%Troy
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADTroy -1.5
PROJECTED TOTAL155.2
MODEL MONEYLINETroy -126
Troy
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreArkansas State 77
Projected Total155.2
Projected ScoreTroy 78
Team Comparison
55.8MMH Power Index51.5
112.0Offensive Efficiency110.0
104.9Defensive Efficiency106.3
7.1Net Efficiency3.7
-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.4
7.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.7
71.2Tempo69.7
52.2%Effective FG%52.0%
17.4%Turnover Rate16.8%
32.6%Offensive Rebound %31.9%
36.7%Free Throw Rate36.0%
5.1Average Margin2.6
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Troy HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY55.7%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
9–1
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–51.5), offensive efficiency (112.0–110.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–106.3), net efficiency (7.1–3.7).
Troy COUNTERS WITHball security (16.8–17.4).