
Austin Peay
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
43.3%Austin Peay
56.7%Tarleton State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADTarleton State -1.7
PROJECTED TOTAL153.6
MODEL MONEYLINETarleton State -131

Tarleton State
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreAustin Peay 76
Projected Total153.6
Projected ScoreTarleton State 78
Team Comparison
52.4MMH Power Index48.9
111.0Offensive Efficiency108.0
105.8Defensive Efficiency105.5
5.2Net Efficiency2.5
-2.1Strength of Schedule-2.1
5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4
70.0Tempo70.6
52.5%Effective FG%51.2%
16.3%Turnover Rate17.5%
30.7%Offensive Rebound %31.0%
36.6%Free Throw Rate37.5%
3.7Average Margin1.7
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Tarleton State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY56.7%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
7–3
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.4–48.9), offensive efficiency (111.0–108.0), net efficiency (5.2–2.5), recent form (5.3–2.4).
Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.5–105.8), offensive rebounding (31.0–30.7), free throw rate (37.5–36.6).