
Northern Iowa
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
23.1%Northern Iowa
76.9%Illinois State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADIllinois State -7.8
PROJECTED TOTAL145.3
MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -333

Illinois State
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 69
Projected Total145.3
Projected ScoreIllinois State 77
Team Comparison
53.8MMH Power Index59.8
109.5Offensive Efficiency112.9
103.9Defensive Efficiency102.4
5.6Net Efficiency10.5
1.1Strength of Schedule1.1
5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency10.5
66.6Tempo68.3
52.6%Effective FG%52.6%
16.1%Turnover Rate16.7%
28.6%Offensive Rebound %30.2%
33.4%Free Throw Rate34.8%
3.7Average Margin7.1
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Illinois State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY76.9%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–1
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–53.8), offensive efficiency (112.9–109.5), defensive efficiency (102.4–103.9), net efficiency (10.5–5.6).
Northern Iowa COUNTERS WITHball security (16.1–16.7).