Arkansas State

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.2%Arkansas State

54.8%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -121

South Alabama

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 76

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 77

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricSouth Alabama

55.8MMH Power Index51.2

112.0Offensive Efficiency109.6

104.9Defensive Efficiency106.2

7.1Net Efficiency3.4

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.4

7.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

71.2Tempo68.2

52.2%Effective FG%52.3%

17.4%Turnover Rate15.7%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

36.7%Free Throw Rate36.8%

5.1Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–51.2), offensive efficiency (112.0–109.6), defensive efficiency (104.9–106.2), net efficiency (7.1–3.4).

South Alabama COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.3–52.2), ball security (15.7–17.4), free throw rate (36.8–36.7).