Illinois

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.8%Illinois

58.2%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -139

Michigan State

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 74

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreMichigan State 76

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricMichigan State

62MMH Power Index59

115.6Offensive Efficiency113.2

103.7Defensive Efficiency103.7

11.9Net Efficiency9.5

0.0Strength of Schedule0.0

11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

67.8Tempo68.2

52.7%Effective FG%52.5%

15.8%Turnover Rate16.8%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

35.3%Free Throw Rate36.0%

8.1Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (62.0–59.0), offensive efficiency (115.6–113.2), net efficiency (11.9–9.5), recent form (11.9–9.5).

Michigan State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (36.0–35.3).