Louisville

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.4%Louisville

55.6%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL153.3

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -125

North Carolina

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 76

Projected Total153.3

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 77

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricNorth Carolina

64.2MMH Power Index59.7

114.5Offensive Efficiency112.5

103.0Defensive Efficiency104.6

11.5Net Efficiency7.9

5.5Strength of Schedule5.5

11.5Last 10 Net Efficiency7.8

70.0Tempo69.0

53.2%Effective FG%52.6%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.0%

31.2%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

35.4%Free Throw Rate36.4%

8.0Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.2–59.7), offensive efficiency (114.5–112.5), defensive efficiency (103.0–104.6), net efficiency (11.5–7.9).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHball security (16.0–16.7), free throw rate (36.4–35.4).