Illinois State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
46.7%Illinois State
53.3%Valparaiso
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADValparaiso -0.9
PROJECTED TOTAL148.4
MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -114
Valparaiso
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreIllinois State 74
Projected Total148.4
Projected ScoreValparaiso 75
Team Comparison
59.8MMH Power Index54
112.9Offensive Efficiency110.6
102.4Defensive Efficiency104.8
10.5Net Efficiency5.8
1.1Strength of Schedule1.1
10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency5.8
68.3Tempo68.3
52.6%Effective FG%51.2%
16.7%Turnover Rate16.4%
30.2%Offensive Rebound %31.2%
34.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%
7.1Average Margin3.9
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY53.3%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
7–3
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–54.0), offensive efficiency (112.9–110.6), defensive efficiency (102.4–104.8), net efficiency (10.5–5.8).
Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHball security (16.4–16.7), offensive rebounding (31.2–30.2), free throw rate (36.8–34.8).