UL Monroe

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GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.5%UL Monroe

93.5%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -17.3

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -1438

Arkansas State

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MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUL Monroe 70

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreArkansas State 87

Team Comparison

UL MonroeMetricArkansas State

34.3MMH Power Index55.8

103.3Offensive Efficiency112.0

113.5Defensive Efficiency104.9

-10.2Net Efficiency7.1

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.4

-10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency7.2

70.4Tempo71.2

51.0%Effective FG%52.2%

16.7%Turnover Rate17.4%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

37.0%Free Throw Rate36.7%

-7.2Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–34.3), offensive efficiency (112.0–103.3), defensive efficiency (104.9–113.5), net efficiency (7.1–-10.2).

UL Monroe COUNTERS WITHball security (16.7–17.4), free throw rate (37.0–36.7).