Murray State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
27.8%Murray State
72.2%Illinois State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADIllinois State -6.2
PROJECTED TOTAL153.1
MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -260
Illinois State
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreMurray State 73
Projected Total153.1
Projected ScoreIllinois State 80
Team Comparison
55.7MMH Power Index59.8
113.0Offensive Efficiency112.9
105.8Defensive Efficiency102.4
7.2Net Efficiency10.5
1.1Strength of Schedule1.1
7.1Last 10 Net Efficiency10.5
70.7Tempo68.3
52.5%Effective FG%52.6%
16.6%Turnover Rate16.7%
31.3%Offensive Rebound %30.2%
36.6%Free Throw Rate34.8%
5.0Average Margin7.1
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Illinois State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY72.2%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
6–4
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–55.7), defensive efficiency (102.4–105.8), net efficiency (10.5–7.2), recent form (10.5–7.1).
Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.0–112.9), ball security (16.6–16.7), offensive rebounding (31.3–30.2).