Troy

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.2%Troy

73.8%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -6.7

PROJECTED TOTAL155.2

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -282

Arkansas State

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTroy 74

Projected Total155.2

Projected ScoreArkansas State 81

Team Comparison

TroyMetricArkansas State

51.5MMH Power Index55.8

110.0Offensive Efficiency112.0

106.3Defensive Efficiency104.9

3.7Net Efficiency7.1

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.4

3.7Last 10 Net Efficiency7.2

69.7Tempo71.2

52.0%Effective FG%52.2%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.4%

31.9%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

36.0%Free Throw Rate36.7%

2.6Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–51.5), offensive efficiency (112.0–110.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–106.3), net efficiency (7.1–3.7).

Troy COUNTERS WITHball security (16.8–17.4).