UConn

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.6%UConn

46.4%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL148.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -116

Villanova

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 75

Projected Total148.4

Projected ScoreVillanova 74

Team Comparison

UConnMetricVillanova

67.4MMH Power Index58.7

114.9Offensive Efficiency112.1

101.0Defensive Efficiency105.3

13.9Net Efficiency6.8

4.4Strength of Schedule4.4

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency6.9

67.6Tempo68.2

52.7%Effective FG%52.5%

16.6%Turnover Rate16.3%

31.9%Offensive Rebound %31.0%

34.5%Free Throw Rate34.7%

9.4Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.4–58.7), offensive efficiency (114.9–112.1), defensive efficiency (101.0–105.3), net efficiency (13.9–6.8).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHball security (16.3–16.6), free throw rate (34.7–34.5).