UIC

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GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.2%UIC

65.8%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL149.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -192

Illinois State

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MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUIC 72

Projected Total149.0

Projected ScoreIllinois State 77

Team Comparison

UICMetricIllinois State

59.1MMH Power Index59.8

112.8Offensive Efficiency112.9

102.9Defensive Efficiency102.4

9.9Net Efficiency10.5

1.1Strength of Schedule1.1

9.9Last 10 Net Efficiency10.5

68.7Tempo68.3

51.7%Effective FG%52.6%

16.9%Turnover Rate16.7%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

36.1%Free Throw Rate34.8%

6.8Average Margin7.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–59.1), offensive efficiency (112.9–112.8), defensive efficiency (102.4–102.9), net efficiency (10.5–9.9).

UIC COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (32.3–30.2), free throw rate (36.1–34.8).