Fresno State

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.1%Fresno State

70.9%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL148.6

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -244

Texas State

1-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 71

Projected Total148.6

Projected ScoreTexas State 77

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricTexas State

48.8MMH Power Index51.5899380642093

108.0Offensive Efficiency108.5

106.7Defensive Efficiency105.0

1.3Net Efficiency3.4

0.0Strength of Schedule0.1

1.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

69.2Tempo68.3

51.8%Effective FG%51.9%

17.1%Turnover Rate17.3%

30.1%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

35.7%Free Throw Rate36.3%

0.9Average Margin2.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.6–48.8), offensive efficiency (108.5–108.0), defensive efficiency (105.0–106.7), net efficiency (3.4–1.3).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHball security (17.1–17.3).