
Illinois State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
61.4%Illinois State
38.6%Southern Illinois
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADIllinois State -3.0
PROJECTED TOTAL149.2
MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -159

Southern Illinois
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreIllinois State 76
Projected Total149.2
Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 73
Team Comparison
59.8MMH Power Index47.5
112.9Offensive Efficiency106.6
102.4Defensive Efficiency106.1
10.5Net Efficiency0.5
1.1Strength of Schedule1.1
10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.5
68.3Tempo69.8
52.6%Effective FG%51.4%
16.7%Turnover Rate16.8%
30.2%Offensive Rebound %30.9%
34.8%Free Throw Rate34.9%
7.1Average Margin0.4
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Illinois State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY61.4%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–2
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–47.5), offensive efficiency (112.9–106.6), defensive efficiency (102.4–106.1), net efficiency (10.5–0.5).
Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.9–30.2), free throw rate (34.9–34.8).