Arkansas State

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GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.3%Arkansas State

19.7%UL Monroe

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -9.1

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -408

UL Monroe

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 83

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreUL Monroe 74

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricUL Monroe

55.8MMH Power Index34.3

112.0Offensive Efficiency103.3

104.9Defensive Efficiency113.5

7.1Net Efficiency-10.2

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.4

7.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.2

71.2Tempo70.4

52.2%Effective FG%51.0%

17.4%Turnover Rate16.7%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

36.7%Free Throw Rate37.0%

5.1Average Margin-7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–34.3), offensive efficiency (112.0–103.3), defensive efficiency (104.9–113.5), net efficiency (7.1–-10.2).

UL Monroe COUNTERS WITHball security (16.7–17.4), free throw rate (37.0–36.7).