Illinois State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
48.7%Illinois State
51.3%Drake
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADDrake -0.3
PROJECTED TOTAL149.7
MODEL MONEYLINEDrake -105
Drake
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreIllinois State 75
Projected Total149.7
Projected ScoreDrake 76
Team Comparison
59.8MMH Power Index53.2
112.9Offensive Efficiency111.0
102.4Defensive Efficiency105.9
10.5Net Efficiency5.1
1.1Strength of Schedule1.1
10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency5.1
68.3Tempo68.8
52.6%Effective FG%52.0%
16.7%Turnover Rate16.2%
30.2%Offensive Rebound %29.9%
34.8%Free Throw Rate35.4%
7.1Average Margin3.5
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Drake HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY51.3%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–2
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–53.2), offensive efficiency (112.9–111.0), defensive efficiency (102.4–105.9), net efficiency (10.5–5.1).
Drake COUNTERS WITHball security (16.2–16.7), free throw rate (35.4–34.8).