Arkansas State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
41.5%Arkansas State
58.5%Southern Miss
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADSouthern Miss -2.2
PROJECTED TOTAL154.7
MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Miss -141
Southern Miss
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreArkansas State 76
Projected Total154.7
Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 78
Team Comparison
55.8MMH Power Index53
112.0Offensive Efficiency110.0
104.9Defensive Efficiency105.1
7.1Net Efficiency4.9
-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.4
7.2Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9
71.2Tempo69.7
52.2%Effective FG%51.5%
17.4%Turnover Rate17.1%
32.6%Offensive Rebound %31.2%
36.7%Free Throw Rate37.8%
5.1Average Margin3.4
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Southern Miss HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY58.5%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–2
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–53.0), offensive efficiency (112.0–110.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–105.1), net efficiency (7.1–4.9).
Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHball security (17.1–17.4), free throw rate (37.8–36.7).