
Louisiana Tech
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
19.5%Louisiana Tech
80.5%Arkansas State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADArkansas State -9.2
PROJECTED TOTAL151.0
MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -413

Arkansas State
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreLouisiana Tech 71
Projected Total151.0
Projected ScoreArkansas State 80
Team Comparison
47.4MMH Power Index55.8
106.9Offensive Efficiency112.0
106.5Defensive Efficiency104.9
0.4Net Efficiency7.1
-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.4
0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency7.2
67.5Tempo71.2
51.3%Effective FG%52.2%
17.1%Turnover Rate17.4%
32.4%Offensive Rebound %32.6%
35.2%Free Throw Rate36.7%
0.3Average Margin5.1
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY80.5%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
9–1
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–47.4), offensive efficiency (112.0–106.9), defensive efficiency (104.9–106.5), net efficiency (7.1–0.4).
Louisiana Tech COUNTERS WITHball security (17.1–17.4).