Louisville

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.3%Louisville

64.7%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -183

NC State

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MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 75

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreNC State 79

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricNC State

64.2MMH Power Index63.9

114.5Offensive Efficiency115.1

103.0Defensive Efficiency103.9

11.5Net Efficiency11.2

5.5Strength of Schedule5.5

11.5Last 10 Net Efficiency11.2

70.0Tempo69.6

53.2%Effective FG%52.8%

16.7%Turnover Rate15.8%

31.2%Offensive Rebound %30.1%

35.4%Free Throw Rate35.8%

8.0Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.2–63.9), defensive efficiency (103.0–103.9), net efficiency (11.5–11.2), recent form (11.5–11.2).

NC State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.1–114.5), ball security (15.8–16.7), free throw rate (35.8–35.4).