Ball State

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GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.2%Ball State

62.8%Central Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Michigan -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL148.6

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Michigan -169

Central Michigan

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MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 73

Projected Total148.6

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 76

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricCentral Michigan

44.5MMH Power Index43.3

106.3Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.5Defensive Efficiency109.3

-1.2Net Efficiency-2.1

-0.9Strength of Schedule-0.9

-1.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

67.7Tempo69.2

51.1%Effective FG%52.1%

16.5%Turnover Rate17.1%

29.7%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

35.1%Free Throw Rate35.1%

-0.8Average Margin-1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBall State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.5–43.3), defensive efficiency (107.5–109.3), net efficiency (-1.2–-2.1), recent form (-1.2–-2.2).

Central Michigan COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.2–106.3), shooting efficiency (52.1–51.1), offensive rebounding (30.5–29.7).