
NC State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
31.4%NC State
68.6%Virginia
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADVirginia -5.1
PROJECTED TOTAL152.6
MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -218

Virginia
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreNC State 74
Projected Total152.6
Projected ScoreVirginia 79
Team Comparison
63.9MMH Power Index65.5
115.1Offensive Efficiency115.0
103.9Defensive Efficiency102.5
11.2Net Efficiency12.5
5.5Strength of Schedule5.5
11.2Last 10 Net Efficiency12.5
69.6Tempo68.3
52.8%Effective FG%52.7%
15.8%Turnover Rate16.5%
30.1%Offensive Rebound %32.4%
35.8%Free Throw Rate35.1%
7.8Average Margin8.6
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Virginia HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY68.6%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
6–4
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.5–63.9), defensive efficiency (102.5–103.9), net efficiency (12.5–11.2), recent form (12.5–11.2).
NC State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.1–115.0), shooting efficiency (52.8–52.7), ball security (15.8–16.5).