UConn

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.2%UConn

33.8%Xavier

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -196

Xavier

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 78

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreXavier 74

Team Comparison

UConnMetricXavier

67.4MMH Power Index53

114.9Offensive Efficiency110.0

101.0Defensive Efficiency107.7

13.9Net Efficiency2.3

4.4Strength of Schedule4.4

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency2.3

67.6Tempo70.4

52.7%Effective FG%51.9%

16.6%Turnover Rate16.0%

31.9%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

34.5%Free Throw Rate34.1%

9.4Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.4–53.0), offensive efficiency (114.9–110.0), defensive efficiency (101.0–107.7), net efficiency (13.9–2.3).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHball security (16.0–16.6).