Mid-Major College Basketball, All in One PlaceAdvanced Stats • Rankings • Daily Intelligence
MM
MID-MAJOR HOOPS
The rest of college basketball starts here.
THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayFebruary 10, 2026Next Day →
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
NC State at Louisville • FINAL20-14 • 24-11Final Score: NC State 77-118 Louisville
Louisville 78.4%NC State 21.6%
76-86162.1Louisville -9.3
Arizona at Kansas • FINAL36-3 • 24-11Final Score: Arizona 78-82 Kansas
Arizona 81.5%Kansas 18.5%
80-72151.7Arizona -8.3
Central Arkansas at North Alabama • FINAL22-12 • 9-21Final Score: Central Arkansas 72-65 North Alabama
Central Arkansas 83.5%North Alabama 16.5%
82-72153.7Central Arkansas -9.9
Southern Illinois at Indiana State • FINAL16-16 • 11-21Final Score: Southern Illinois 80-65 Indiana State
Southern Illinois 65.2%Indiana State 34.8%
74-72146.2Southern Illinois -2.7
Prairie View A&M at Florida A&M • FINAL19-18 • 14-16Final Score: Prairie View A&M 96-100 Florida A&M
Florida A&M 56.6%Prairie View A&M 43.4%
75-76151.2Florida A&M -1.7
Texas Southern at Bethune-Cookman • FINAL12-17 • 17-15Final Score: Texas Southern 69-79 Bethune-Cookman
Bethune-Cookman 70.8%Texas Southern 29.2%
73-79151.7Bethune-Cookman -6.1
Yale at Howard • FINAL23-7 • 24-11Final Score: Yale 87-81 Howard
Yale 60.8%Howard 39.2%
75-74148.3Yale -1.1
Incarnate Word at SE Louisiana • FINAL12-19 • 9-21Final Score: Incarnate Word 62-74 SE Louisiana
Incarnate Word 53.7%SE Louisiana 46.3%
69-69138.7Incarnate Word -0.0
Northwestern State at Lamar • FINAL10-21 • 12-19Final Score: Northwestern State 70-68 Lamar
Lamar 69.4%Northwestern State 30.6%
65-72136.2Lamar -6.9
East Texas A&M at Stephen F. Austin • FINAL11-21 • 28-6Final Score: East Texas A&M 70-74 Stephen F. Austin
Stephen F. Austin 94.9%East Texas A&M 5.1%
62-82144.5Stephen F. Austin -19.6
Valparaiso at Drake • FINAL18-15 • 14-20Final Score: Valparaiso 81-76 Drake
Drake 53.0%Valparaiso 47.0%
73-75147.8Drake -2.1
Alabama A&M at Grambling • FINAL18-15 • 14-19Final Score: Alabama A&M 66-58 Grambling
Grambling 60.1%Alabama A&M 39.9%
69-73142.8Grambling -4.2
Alabama State at Southern • FINAL10-22 • 17-17Final Score: Alabama State 68-69 Southern
Southern 77.4%Alabama State 22.6%
74-83157.0Southern -9.1
UT Rio Grande Valley at Nicholls • FINAL19-14 • 14-19Final Score: UT Rio Grande Valley 92-72 Nicholls
UT Rio Grande Valley 70.1%Nicholls 29.9%
76-71147.4UT Rio Grande Valley -4.7
Houston Christian at McNeese • FINAL12-20 • 27-6Final Score: Houston Christian 69-73 McNeese
McNeese 97.2%Houston Christian 2.8%
59-82140.5McNeese -23.2
Illinois State at Evansville • FINAL23-13 • 7-25Final Score: Illinois State 80-88 Evansville
Illinois State 88.3%Evansville 11.7%
78-66143.6Illinois State -12.3
Belmont at Bradley • FINAL26-6 • 21-13Final Score: Belmont 84-95 Bradley
Belmont 57.8%Bradley 42.2%
79-78157.0Belmont -1.6
Alcorn State at Mississippi Valley State • FINAL9-23 • 3-30Final Score: Alcorn State 74-66 Mississippi Valley State
Alcorn State 68.2%Mississippi Valley State 31.8%
76-72148.5Alcorn State -3.6
UNC Wilmington at Charleston • FINAL27-7 • 21-11Final Score: UNC Wilmington 76-64 Charleston
UNC Wilmington 52.3%Charleston 47.7%
74-74147.8UNC Wilmington -0.4
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at New Orleans • FINAL18-15 • 16-18Final Score: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 78-84 New Orleans
New Orleans 58.2%Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 41.8%
73-75147.8New Orleans -1.6
Oregon at Indiana • FINAL12-19 • 18-14Final Score: Oregon 74-92 Indiana
Indiana 82.4%Oregon 17.6%
69-80149.0Indiana -11.3
Northern Iowa at Murray State • FINAL23-13 • 20-13Final Score: Northern Iowa 89-60 Murray State
Northern Iowa 57.8%Murray State 42.2%
75-74148.2Northern Iowa -1.0
Milwaukee at IU Indianapolis • FINAL12-20 • 7-25Final Score: Milwaukee 92-88 IU Indianapolis
Milwaukee 53.7%IU Indianapolis 46.3%
84-85169.2IU Indianapolis -0.3
Delaware State at North Carolina Central • FINAL8-22 • 14-18Final Score: Delaware State 63-72 North Carolina Central
North Carolina Central 79.9%Delaware State 20.1%
64-73136.3North Carolina Central -9.0
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.