#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Duke at Pittsburgh • FINAL35-3 • 13-20Final Score: Duke 70-54 Pittsburgh
Duke 95.1%Pittsburgh 4.9%
81-63144.2Duke -17.8Wisconsin at Illinois • FINAL24-11 • 28-9Final Score: Wisconsin 92-90 Illinois
Illinois 86.4%Wisconsin 13.6%
73-86158.7Illinois -12.5Purdue at Nebraska • FINAL30-9 • 28-7Final Score: Purdue 80-77 Nebraska
Purdue 54.5%Nebraska 45.5%
74-75149.2Nebraska -1.0BYU at Baylor • FINAL23-12 • 16-17Final Score: BYU 99-94 Baylor
BYU 51.2%Baylor 48.8%
81-81162.3Baylor -0.3Vanderbilt at Auburn • FINAL27-9 • 21-16Final Score: Vanderbilt 84-76 Auburn
Auburn 50.2%Vanderbilt 49.8%
83-83166.0Vanderbilt -0.5North Carolina at Miami • FINAL24-9 • 26-9Final Score: North Carolina 66-75 Miami
Miami 63.2%North Carolina 36.8%
75-80154.6Miami -4.7Houston at Utah • FINAL29-7 • 10-22Final Score: Houston 66-52 Utah
Houston 95.6%Utah 4.4%
83-65147.6Houston -18.4Arkansas at LSU • FINAL28-9 • 15-17Final Score: Arkansas 91-62 LSU
Arkansas 76.4%LSU 23.6%
89-83171.3Arkansas -6.0Iowa State at TCU • FINAL28-8 • 23-12Final Score: Iowa State 55-62 TCU
Iowa State 78.5%TCU 21.5%
79-71150.0Iowa State -7.3Washington State at Gonzaga • FINAL12-20 • 31-4Final Score: Washington State 53-83 Gonzaga
Gonzaga 97.3%Washington State 2.7%
65-90154.6Gonzaga -24.6Rhode Island at George Washington • FINAL16-16 • 19-16Final Score: Rhode Island 70-75 George Washington
George Washington 81.6%Rhode Island 18.4%
69-79147.8George Washington -10.1Colorado State at Air Force • FINAL21-13 • 3-29Final Score: Colorado State 91-74 Air Force
Colorado State 95.7%Air Force 4.3%
82-63144.9Colorado State -18.7George Mason at Richmond • FINAL23-10 • 15-17Final Score: George Mason 70-82 Richmond
George Mason 55.6%Richmond 44.4%
74-73146.8George Mason -0.3Fordham at Saint Joseph's • FINAL17-15 • 24-12Final Score: Fordham 68-64 Saint Joseph's
Saint Joseph's 68.0%Fordham 32.0%
67-72138.7Saint Joseph's -4.8Notre Dame at SMU • FINAL13-17 • 20-14Final Score: Notre Dame 81-89 SMU
SMU 87.4%Notre Dame 12.6%
73-86159.8SMU -13.0Virginia at Florida State • FINAL30-6 • 18-15Final Score: Virginia 61-58 Florida State
Virginia 65.2%Florida State 34.8%
80-76156.7Virginia -4.0Marquette at Villanova • FINAL12-20 • 24-9Final Score: Marquette 74-77 Villanova
Villanova 78.6%Marquette 21.4%
71-81151.7Villanova -9.8Eastern Illinois at Western Illinois • FINAL13-20 • 5-26Final Score: Eastern Illinois 70-79 Western Illinois
Eastern Illinois 74.1%Western Illinois 25.9%
72-67139.1Eastern Illinois -5.8Fresno State at Utah State • FINAL13-19 • 29-7Final Score: Fresno State 78-91 Utah State
Utah State 93.0%Fresno State 7.0%
67-84151.1Utah State -17.1Oklahoma State at Arizona State • FINAL20-15 • 17-16Final Score: Oklahoma State 76-85 Arizona State
Arizona State 55.7%Oklahoma State 44.3%
82-84165.4Arizona State -2.1San José State at UNLV • FINAL9-24 • 18-16Final Score: San José State 75-82 UNLV
UNLV 84.7%San José State 15.3%
73-85157.0UNLV -12.0Iowa at Maryland • FINAL24-13 • 12-20Final Score: Iowa 70-77 Maryland
Iowa 84.9%Maryland 15.1%
77-67143.6Iowa -10.2Colgate at Holy Cross • FINAL18-15 • 11-22Final Score: Colgate 74-70 Holy Cross
Colgate 66.9%Holy Cross 33.1%
75-72147.3Colgate -3.5Boston University at Army • FINAL16-18 • 11-21Final Score: Boston University 85-68 Army
Boston University 73.0%Army 27.0%
78-73151.4Boston University -4.5The Citadel at Western Carolina • FINAL11-22 • 15-16Final Score: The Citadel 49-87 Western Carolina
Western Carolina 92.0%The Citadel 8.0%
69-85154.3Western Carolina -15.6VCU at La Salle • FINAL28-8 • 9-23Final Score: VCU 77-68 La Salle
VCU 90.1%La Salle 9.9%
81-67148.0VCU -13.2USC at Ohio State • FINAL18-14 • 21-13Final Score: USC 82-89 Ohio State
Ohio State 91.0%USC 9.0%
72-86157.4Ohio State -14.3THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.