Mid-Major College Basketball, All in One PlaceAdvanced Stats • Rankings • Daily Intelligence
MM
MID-MAJOR HOOPS
The rest of college basketball starts here.
THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayFebruary 12, 2026Next Day →
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Florida at Georgia • FINAL27-8 • 22-11Final Score: Florida 86-66 Georgia
Florida 77.4%Georgia 22.6%
88-82169.3Florida -6.0
Michigan at Northwestern • FINAL36-3 • 15-19Final Score: Michigan 87-75 Northwestern
Michigan 91.1%Northwestern 8.9%
84-69153.7Michigan -14.8
Tennessee at Mississippi State • FINAL25-12 • 13-19Final Score: Tennessee 73-64 Mississippi State
Tennessee 89.7%Mississippi State 10.3%
85-72156.9Tennessee -12.9
Creighton at DePaul • FINAL15-18 • 16-16Final Score: Creighton 71-72 DePaul
DePaul 56.6%Creighton 43.4%
71-75145.9DePaul -3.2
Alabama at Ole Miss • FINAL24-10 • 15-20Final Score: Alabama 93-74 Ole Miss
Alabama 79.1%Ole Miss 20.9%
88-80167.9Alabama -7.1
UConn at Butler • FINAL34-5 • 16-16Final Score: UConn 80-70 Butler
UConn 80.9%Butler 19.1%
80-72151.4UConn -8.2
Colorado at Texas Tech • FINAL17-16 • 23-11Final Score: Colorado 44-78 Texas Tech
Texas Tech 87.7%Colorado 12.3%
73-87160.2Texas Tech -13.4
Vermont at Binghamton • FINAL22-12 • 8-22Final Score: Vermont 73-65 Binghamton
Vermont 85.8%Binghamton 14.2%
75-65139.3Vermont -10.0
NJIT at New Hampshire • FINAL16-17 • 9-21Final Score: NJIT 76-70 New Hampshire
New Hampshire 50.2%NJIT 49.8%
70-72142.0New Hampshire -1.8
UMBC at Maine • FINAL24-8 • 8-24Final Score: UMBC 78-62 Maine
UMBC 89.2%Maine 10.8%
73-61133.2UMBC -11.9
Bryant at UMass Lowell • FINAL9-22 • 15-18Final Score: Bryant 69-88 UMass Lowell
UMass Lowell 83.1%Bryant 16.9%
67-78144.8UMass Lowell -10.4
Bellarmine at Central Arkansas • FINAL13-19 • 22-12Final Score: Bellarmine 76-84 Central Arkansas
Central Arkansas 82.1%Bellarmine 17.9%
76-87163.0Central Arkansas -11.6
Northern Kentucky at IU Indianapolis • FINAL20-14 • 7-25Final Score: Northern Kentucky 84-81 IU Indianapolis
Northern Kentucky 75.6%IU Indianapolis 24.4%
89-83172.1Northern Kentucky -6.9
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State • FINAL17-15 • 21-14Final Score: Middle Tennessee 90-87 Kennesaw State
Kennesaw State 70.4%Middle Tennessee 29.6%
75-82156.3Kennesaw State -6.8
Jacksonville at Stetson • FINAL12-20 • 12-21Final Score: Jacksonville 62-67 Stetson
Stetson 52.7%Jacksonville 47.3%
76-76151.9Stetson -0.6
Portland at San Diego • FINAL15-19 • 12-21Final Score: Portland 58-71 San Diego
San Diego 54.6%Portland 45.4%
76-79155.3San Diego -2.7
South Florida at Wichita State • FINAL25-9 • 24-12Final Score: South Florida 66-58 Wichita State
South Florida 52.9%Wichita State 47.1%
80-80159.4South Florida -0.3
American University at Lehigh • FINAL16-16 • 18-17Final Score: American University 82-90 Lehigh
Lehigh 53.5%American University 46.5%
73-74147.4Lehigh -1.2
UTSA at East Carolina • FINAL5-25 • 11-20Final Score: UTSA 72-88 East Carolina
East Carolina 88.6%UTSA 11.4%
69-82151.5East Carolina -13.2
California at Syracuse • FINAL22-12 • 15-16Final Score: California 100-107 Syracuse
Syracuse 50.8%California 49.2%
76-77152.2Syracuse -1.2
Virginia Tech at Clemson • FINAL19-13 • 24-10Final Score: Virginia Tech 76-66 Clemson
Clemson 68.0%Virginia Tech 32.0%
70-76145.5Clemson -5.9
Loyola Maryland at Lafayette • FINAL12-20 • 11-21Final Score: Loyola Maryland 68-54 Lafayette
Lafayette 59.3%Loyola Maryland 40.7%
73-76149.6Lafayette -2.8
Toledo at Western Michigan • FINAL19-15 • 10-21Final Score: Toledo 90-79 Western Michigan
Toledo 78.1%Western Michigan 21.9%
83-76159.2Toledo -6.8
Eastern Michigan at Kent State • FINAL10-21 • 24-10Final Score: Eastern Michigan 91-95 Kent State
Kent State 85.4%Eastern Michigan 14.6%
72-84156.9Kent State -12.0
Buffalo at Ball State • FINAL17-15 • 12-19Final Score: Buffalo 63-53 Ball State
Buffalo 60.5%Ball State 39.5%
74-73146.5Buffalo -1.3
VMI at UNC Greensboro • FINAL5-26 • 15-19Final Score: VMI 71-92 UNC Greensboro
UNC Greensboro 92.2%VMI 7.8%
70-85155.9UNC Greensboro -14.9
Wofford at Samford • FINAL19-13 • 18-14Final Score: Wofford 80-97 Samford
Samford 75.8%Wofford 24.2%
75-83158.2Samford -7.6
Furman at Mercer • FINAL22-13 • 19-13Final Score: Furman 64-69 Mercer
Mercer 63.0%Furman 37.0%
75-80155.3Mercer -4.6
Chattanooga at East Tennessee State • FINAL13-19 • 23-11Final Score: Chattanooga 61-73 East Tennessee State
East Tennessee State 85.7%Chattanooga 14.3%
69-82151.3East Tennessee State -12.5
UL Monroe at Arkansas State • FINAL4-28 • 20-12Final Score: UL Monroe 70-103 Arkansas State
Arkansas State 97.1%UL Monroe 2.9%
69-93162.3Arkansas State -23.6
App State at Georgia Southern • FINAL19-13 • 21-16Final Score: App State 81-65 Georgia Southern
App State 51.5%Georgia Southern 48.5%
75-75150.8Georgia Southern -0.1
West Georgia at North Alabama • FINAL15-17 • 9-21Final Score: West Georgia 82-73 North Alabama
West Georgia 61.3%North Alabama 38.7%
78-76154.0West Georgia -1.8
North Florida at Florida Gulf Coast • FINAL7-25 • 16-18Final Score: North Florida 81-90 Florida Gulf Coast
Florida Gulf Coast 86.8%North Florida 13.2%
76-89165.4Florida Gulf Coast -13.5
Austin Peay at Queens University • FINAL22-9 • 21-14Final Score: Austin Peay 95-87 Queens University
Queens University 54.1%Austin Peay 45.9%
83-83166.3Queens University -0.4
UTEP at Jacksonville State • FINAL11-20 • 15-17Final Score: UTEP 69-64 Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State 78.0%UTEP 22.0%
66-75141.3Jacksonville State -9.4
Temple at Tulane • FINAL16-16 • 18-15Final Score: Temple 66-77 Tulane
Temple 55.6%Tulane 44.4%
74-73147.4Temple -0.8
Providence at Seton Hall • FINAL15-18 • 21-12Final Score: Providence 80-87 Seton Hall
Seton Hall 69.7%Providence 30.3%
74-81154.6Seton Hall -7.1
Marshall at Old Dominion • FINAL19-13 • 12-21Final Score: Marshall 81-79 Old Dominion
Marshall 50.6%Old Dominion 49.4%
80-80160.2Marshall -0.0
Florida Atlantic at Rice • FINAL18-15 • 13-18Final Score: Florida Atlantic 73-81 Rice
Florida Atlantic 55.4%Rice 44.6%
77-76153.0Florida Atlantic -0.9
UAB at Tulsa • FINAL20-12 • 30-8Final Score: UAB 68-63 Tulsa
Tulsa 80.0%UAB 20.0%
75-85159.3Tulsa -9.9
North Dakota at South Dakota • FINAL18-17 • 16-16Final Score: North Dakota 72-71 South Dakota
South Dakota 62.7%North Dakota 37.3%
78-82160.5South Dakota -3.9
Bowling Green at Northern Illinois • FINAL18-14 • 9-21Final Score: Bowling Green 68-52 Northern Illinois
Bowling Green 91.1%Northern Illinois 8.9%
83-69152.1Bowling Green -14.4
Troy at Texas State • FINAL22-12 • 19-13Final Score: Troy 62-74 Texas State
Troy 50.4%Texas State 49.6%
75-75150.3Texas State -0.4
Eastern Kentucky at Lipscomb • FINAL11-21 • 18-13Final Score: Eastern Kentucky 61-75 Lipscomb
Lipscomb 69.4%Eastern Kentucky 30.6%
77-83159.9Lipscomb -6.7
Cincinnati at Kansas State • FINAL18-15 • 12-20Final Score: Cincinnati 91-62 Kansas State
Cincinnati 74.9%Kansas State 25.1%
79-74153.0Cincinnati -5.8
Wake Forest at Georgia Tech • FINAL18-17 • 11-20Final Score: Wake Forest 83-67 Georgia Tech
Wake Forest 76.8%Georgia Tech 23.2%
81-75156.5Wake Forest -5.6
Stanford at Boston College • FINAL20-13 • 11-20Final Score: Stanford 70-64 Boston College
Stanford 74.3%Boston College 25.7%
74-70143.9Stanford -4.8
Missouri at Texas A&M • FINAL20-13 • 20-12Final Score: Missouri 86-85 Texas A&M
Texas A&M 64.5%Missouri 35.5%
77-82158.1Texas A&M -5.1
Liberty at New Mexico State • FINAL26-8 • 16-16Final Score: Liberty 77-75 New Mexico State
New Mexico State 55.7%Liberty 44.3%
73-76149.2New Mexico State -2.3
Seattle U at Santa Clara • FINAL21-14 • 26-9Final Score: Seattle U 72-84 Santa Clara
Santa Clara 88.2%Seattle U 11.8%
68-81148.9Santa Clara -13.1
Pepperdine at Saint Mary's • FINAL9-23 • 27-6Final Score: Pepperdine 60-88 Saint Mary's
Saint Mary's 98.4%Pepperdine 1.6%
60-88148.1Saint Mary's -27.1
Loyola Marymount at Pacific • FINAL15-17 • 18-15Final Score: Loyola Marymount 59-65 Pacific
Pacific 61.7%Loyola Marymount 38.3%
70-74144.5Pacific -4.4
New Mexico at Grand Canyon • FINAL26-11 • 20-12Final Score: New Mexico 70-64 Grand Canyon
Grand Canyon 51.9%New Mexico 48.1%
74-75149.7Grand Canyon -1.0
Penn State at Washington • FINAL12-20 • 16-17Final Score: Penn State 63-60 Washington
Washington 89.6%Penn State 10.4%
70-85154.4Washington -14.7
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.