Mid-Major College Basketball, All in One PlaceAdvanced Stats • Rankings • Daily Intelligence
MM
MID-MAJOR HOOPS
The rest of college basketball starts here.
THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayFebruary 13, 2026Next Day →
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Valparaiso at Illinois State • FINAL18-15 • 23-13Final Score: Valparaiso 64-86 Illinois State
Illinois State 73.1%Valparaiso 26.9%
68-76143.6Illinois State -8.2
Evansville at Southern Illinois • FINAL7-25 • 16-16Final Score: Evansville 60-86 Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois 95.6%Evansville 4.4%
62-82143.3Southern Illinois -19.9
Murray State at Indiana State • FINAL20-13 • 11-21Final Score: Murray State 74-72 Indiana State
Murray State 62.6%Indiana State 37.4%
81-79159.1Murray State -2.0
UIC at Drake • FINAL19-16 • 14-20Final Score: UIC 80-70 Drake
UIC 65.4%Drake 34.6%
76-73149.5UIC -2.7
Northern Iowa at Belmont • FINAL23-13 • 26-6Final Score: Northern Iowa 86-91 Belmont
Belmont 64.5%Northern Iowa 35.5%
70-75144.5Belmont -5.2
Memphis at North Texas • FINAL13-19 • 19-14Final Score: Memphis 69-76 North Texas
North Texas 73.1%Memphis 26.9%
69-77145.8North Texas -7.3
UNC Asheville at Longwood • FINAL15-17 • 16-16Final Score: UNC Asheville 79-74 Longwood
Longwood 61.9%UNC Asheville 38.1%
73-78150.9Longwood -4.6
Kansas City at Oral Roberts • FINAL4-27 • 10-23Final Score: Kansas City 60-69 Oral Roberts
Oral Roberts 90.9%Kansas City 9.1%
70-85154.6Oral Roberts -15.3
St. Thomas-Minnesota at Omaha • FINAL24-10 • 16-17Final Score: St. Thomas-Minnesota 94-98 Omaha
St. Thomas-Minnesota 76.8%Omaha 23.2%
81-74155.6St. Thomas-Minnesota -6.8
Detroit Mercy at Wright State • FINAL17-15 • 23-12Final Score: Detroit Mercy 77-74 Wright State
Wright State 81.6%Detroit Mercy 18.4%
73-84157.4Wright State -10.6
Stonehill at Chicago State • FINAL12-21 • 7-25Final Score: Stonehill 55-68 Chicago State
Chicago State 57.7%Stonehill 42.3%
68-69137.7Chicago State -1.1
Long Island University at Wagner • FINAL24-11 • 14-17Final Score: Long Island University 67-57 Wagner
Long Island University 57.5%Wagner 42.5%
73-72144.9Long Island University -0.5
Stony Brook at Towson • FINAL17-15 • 19-15Final Score: Stony Brook 57-69 Towson
Towson 79.1%Stony Brook 20.9%
65-74138.4Towson -8.8
Hofstra at Charleston • FINAL24-11 • 21-11Final Score: Hofstra 66-62 Charleston
Hofstra 52.6%Charleston 47.4%
73-73146.5Hofstra -0.5
Monmouth at Drexel • FINAL19-15 • 17-16Final Score: Monmouth 93-73 Drexel
Monmouth 53.1%Drexel 46.9%
69-70138.8Drexel -0.9
William & Mary at Northeastern • FINAL20-12 • 8-23Final Score: William & Mary 94-67 Northeastern
William & Mary 71.7%Northeastern 28.3%
84-78162.4William & Mary -5.7
Elon at UNC Wilmington • FINAL14-18 • 27-7Final Score: Elon 54-65 UNC Wilmington
UNC Wilmington 88.4%Elon 11.6%
69-83152.1UNC Wilmington -13.6
UC Irvine at Cal Poly • FINAL23-12 • 14-19Final Score: UC Irvine 73-79 Cal Poly
UC Irvine 69.4%Cal Poly 30.6%
83-77160.0UC Irvine -5.8
Coastal Carolina at Louisiana • FINAL19-13 • 11-22Final Score: Coastal Carolina 69-65 Louisiana
Coastal Carolina 60.0%Louisiana 40.0%
71-69139.7Coastal Carolina -2.1
Sacramento State at Northern Colorado • FINAL10-21 • 20-12Final Score: Sacramento State 79-95 Northern Colorado
Northern Colorado 84.6%Sacramento State 15.4%
76-88163.6Northern Colorado -12.4
Portland State at Northern Arizona • FINAL20-11 • 10-22Final Score: Portland State 77-68 Northern Arizona
Portland State 72.6%Northern Arizona 27.4%
78-71148.8Portland State -6.2
Southeast Missouri State at SIU Edwardsville • FINAL20-13 • 19-13Final Score: Southeast Missouri State 56-74 SIU Edwardsville
SIU Edwardsville 54.6%Southeast Missouri State 45.4%
69-71140.0SIU Edwardsville -3.0
Tennessee Tech at Morehead State • FINAL13-18 • 20-13Final Score: Tennessee Tech 66-73 Morehead State
Morehead State 70.6%Tennessee Tech 29.4%
72-78150.7Morehead State -6.2
Delaware at Florida International • FINAL10-21 • 15-17Final Score: Delaware 68-66 Florida International
Florida International 84.6%Delaware 15.4%
70-82152.2Florida International -12.0
Louisiana Tech at Missouri State • FINAL20-14 • 16-18Final Score: Louisiana Tech 79-78 Missouri State
Missouri State 64.5%Louisiana Tech 35.5%
69-73141.7Missouri State -3.6
Marist at Merrimack • FINAL19-12 • 23-11Final Score: Marist 56-81 Merrimack
Merrimack 69.2%Marist 30.8%
64-68132.5Merrimack -4.4
Winthrop at Gardner-Webb • FINAL23-11 • 4-29Final Score: Winthrop 103-85 Gardner-Webb
Winthrop 94.2%Gardner-Webb 5.8%
89-71160.0Winthrop -18.7
Presbyterian at Charleston Southern • FINAL15-18 • 15-17Final Score: Presbyterian 67-84 Charleston Southern
Charleston Southern 64.8%Presbyterian 35.2%
76-81157.0Charleston Southern -5.5
High Point at South Carolina Upstate • FINAL31-5 • 13-19Final Score: High Point 95-70 South Carolina Upstate
High Point 91.1%South Carolina Upstate 8.9%
86-72157.5High Point -14.3
Robert Morris at Cleveland State • FINAL22-11 • 11-22Final Score: Robert Morris 85-68 Cleveland State
Robert Morris 83.3%Cleveland State 16.7%
85-76161.3Robert Morris -9.5
Youngstown State at Oakland • FINAL14-17 • 16-16Final Score: Youngstown State 86-82 Oakland
Oakland 76.3%Youngstown State 23.7%
76-83158.2Oakland -7.0
Purdue Fort Wayne at Green Bay • FINAL17-15 • 18-15Final Score: Purdue Fort Wayne 59-76 Green Bay
Green Bay 79.1%Purdue Fort Wayne 20.9%
74-82155.2Green Bay -7.9
Central Connecticut at New Haven • FINAL18-12 • 14-17Final Score: Central Connecticut 81-76 New Haven
Central Connecticut 51.5%New Haven 48.5%
68-69137.0New Haven -0.4
Mercyhurst at Le Moyne • FINAL17-17 • 15-17Final Score: Mercyhurst 57-58 Le Moyne
Le Moyne 56.3%Mercyhurst 43.7%
70-72141.2Le Moyne -2.2
Saint Francis at Fairleigh Dickinson • FINAL7-24 • 11-21Final Score: Saint Francis 59-66 Fairleigh Dickinson
Fairleigh Dickinson 75.6%Saint Francis 24.4%
68-77145.5Fairleigh Dickinson -8.9
Georgia State at James Madison • FINAL10-22 • 18-15Final Score: Georgia State 79-81 James Madison
James Madison 88.1%Georgia State 11.9%
68-80148.1James Madison -12.5
UT Arlington at Abilene Christian • FINAL18-14 • 14-19Final Score: UT Arlington 63-67 Abilene Christian
UT Arlington 57.3%Abilene Christian 42.7%
70-69139.2UT Arlington -1.4
South Alabama at Southern Miss • FINAL21-12 • 19-16Final Score: South Alabama 84-78 Southern Miss
Southern Miss 58.5%South Alabama 41.5%
72-75147.6Southern Miss -2.8
Tennessee State at Southern Indiana • FINAL23-10 • 7-22Final Score: Tennessee State 73-71 Southern Indiana
Tennessee State 81.9%Southern Indiana 18.1%
78-69146.8Tennessee State -8.3
Little Rock at Western Illinois • FINAL12-20 • 5-26Final Score: Little Rock 77-58 Western Illinois
Little Rock 81.9%Western Illinois 18.1%
76-68143.6Little Rock -7.9
UT Martin at Lindenwood • FINAL22-11 • 18-15Final Score: UT Martin 74-75 Lindenwood
Lindenwood 54.4%UT Martin 45.6%
70-72141.5Lindenwood -1.9
California Baptist at Southern Utah • FINAL25-9 • 10-22Final Score: California Baptist 83-66 Southern Utah
California Baptist 81.2%Southern Utah 18.8%
79-71149.4California Baptist -8.2
Oregon State at San Francisco • FINAL17-16 • 17-16Final Score: Oregon State 90-63 San Francisco
San Francisco 66.5%Oregon State 33.5%
71-77147.6San Francisco -6.1
South Dakota State at Denver • FINAL14-18 • 15-17Final Score: South Dakota State 61-79 Denver
Denver 61.1%South Dakota State 38.9%
79-82160.7Denver -2.7
Weber State at Idaho • FINAL16-16 • 21-15Final Score: Weber State 83-72 Idaho
Idaho 69.9%Weber State 30.1%
76-82157.6Idaho -6.1
Idaho State at Eastern Washington • FINAL13-20 • 14-19Final Score: Idaho State 75-88 Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington 77.2%Idaho State 22.8%
75-82156.8Eastern Washington -7.6
Utah Valley at Utah Tech • FINAL25-9 • 19-15Final Score: Utah Valley 77-81 Utah Tech
Utah Valley 69.1%Utah Tech 30.9%
79-74152.3Utah Valley -5.0
Hawai'i at Cal State Bakersfield • FINAL24-9 • 8-24Final Score: Hawai'i 89-74 Cal State Bakersfield
Hawai'i 87.7%Cal State Bakersfield 12.3%
84-71155.5Hawai'i -13.1
UC Santa Barbara at UC Riverside • FINAL18-14 • 10-22Final Score: UC Santa Barbara 76-68 UC Riverside
UC Santa Barbara 65.2%UC Riverside 34.8%
78-74152.6UC Santa Barbara -3.8
Cal State Fullerton at Long Beach State • FINAL18-16 • 10-22Final Score: Cal State Fullerton 86-82 Long Beach State
Cal State Fullerton 60.2%Long Beach State 39.8%
82-81162.9Cal State Fullerton -1.3
UC Davis at UC San Diego • FINAL19-14 • 23-11Final Score: UC Davis 51-68 UC San Diego
UC San Diego 74.4%UC Davis 25.6%
72-79151.2UC San Diego -7.7
Manhattan at Niagara • FINAL12-20 • 8-22Final Score: Manhattan 76-69 Niagara
Niagara 53.0%Manhattan 47.0%
71-73144.4Niagara -2.0
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.