Mid-Major College Basketball, All in One PlaceAdvanced Stats • Rankings • Daily Intelligence
MM
MID-MAJOR HOOPS
The rest of college basketball starts here.
THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayFebruary 17, 2026Next Day →
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Syracuse at Duke • FINAL15-16 • 35-3Final Score: Syracuse 64-101 Duke
Duke 97.8%Syracuse 2.2%
62-86148.4Duke -24.3
Houston at Iowa State • FINAL29-7 • 28-8Final Score: Houston 67-70 Iowa State
Iowa State 62.2%Houston 37.8%
70-74143.9Iowa State -4.4
Michigan at Purdue • FINAL36-3 • 30-9Final Score: Michigan 91-80 Purdue
Michigan 58.6%Purdue 41.4%
80-78158.2Michigan -2.6
South Alabama at Marshall • FINAL21-12 • 19-13Final Score: South Alabama 80-84 Marshall
Marshall 64.0%South Alabama 36.0%
75-79154.0Marshall -4.6
Gardner-Webb at Charleston Southern • FINAL4-29 • 15-17Final Score: Gardner-Webb 66-75 Charleston Southern
Charleston Southern 94.5%Gardner-Webb 5.5%
71-92162.7Charleston Southern -20.9
Florida A&M at Alcorn State • FINAL14-16 • 9-23Final Score: Florida A&M 86-78 Alcorn State
Florida A&M 65.4%Alcorn State 34.6%
75-71146.7Florida A&M -3.8
Southern at Texas Southern • FINAL17-17 • 12-17Final Score: Southern 73-74 Texas Southern
Texas Southern 52.4%Southern 47.6%
77-78155.0Texas Southern -1.2
New Orleans at Incarnate Word • FINAL16-18 • 12-19Final Score: New Orleans 78-64 Incarnate Word
Incarnate Word 55.7%New Orleans 44.3%
75-78152.9Incarnate Word -3.2
Howard at Delaware State • FINAL24-11 • 8-22Final Score: Howard 91-59 Delaware State
Howard 93.8%Delaware State 6.2%
76-60136.1Howard -15.5
Morgan State at North Carolina Central • FINAL14-16 • 14-18Final Score: Morgan State 76-80 North Carolina Central
North Carolina Central 58.7%Morgan State 41.3%
75-78152.5North Carolina Central -3.4
Mississippi Valley State at Alabama State • FINAL3-30 • 10-22Final Score: Mississippi Valley State 55-92 Alabama State
Alabama State 94.1%Mississippi Valley State 5.9%
66-85150.5Alabama State -19.0
Grambling at Prairie View A&M • FINAL14-19 • 19-18Final Score: Grambling 63-68 Prairie View A&M
Prairie View A&M 63.0%Grambling 37.0%
72-76148.9Prairie View A&M -4.0
Norfolk State at Maryland Eastern Shore • FINAL15-17 • 9-23Final Score: Norfolk State 70-66 Maryland Eastern Shore
Norfolk State 67.7%Maryland Eastern Shore 32.3%
73-70142.8Norfolk State -3.7
Lamar at UT Rio Grande Valley • FINAL12-19 • 19-14Final Score: Lamar 65-70 UT Rio Grande Valley
UT Rio Grande Valley 86.0%Lamar 14.0%
65-77142.3UT Rio Grande Valley -11.6
McNeese at Northwestern State • FINAL27-6 • 10-21Final Score: McNeese 75-64 Northwestern State
McNeese 91.1%Northwestern State 8.9%
76-62138.2McNeese -13.6
Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Alabama A&M • FINAL13-19 • 18-15Final Score: Arkansas-Pine Bluff 70-82 Alabama A&M
Alabama A&M 71.3%Arkansas-Pine Bluff 28.7%
73-80153.7Alabama A&M -7.0
Bethune-Cookman at Jackson State • FINAL17-15 • 12-21Final Score: Bethune-Cookman 86-91 Jackson State
Bethune-Cookman 73.0%Jackson State 27.0%
81-75156.0Bethune-Cookman -6.3
Drexel at Stony Brook • FINAL17-16 • 17-15Final Score: Drexel 69-72 Stony Brook
Stony Brook 62.7%Drexel 37.3%
67-71138.4Stony Brook -4.0
Stephen F. Austin at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi • FINAL28-6 • 18-15Final Score: Stephen F. Austin 78-68 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Stephen F. Austin 68.2%Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 31.8%
73-69141.6Stephen F. Austin -3.6
Nicholls at Houston Christian • FINAL14-19 • 12-20Final Score: Nicholls 68-72 Houston Christian
Houston Christian 51.3%Nicholls 48.7%
71-72143.5Houston Christian -1.2
Boston College at Florida State • FINAL11-20 • 18-15Final Score: Boston College 72-80 Florida State
Florida State 88.3%Boston College 11.7%
68-81149.5Florida State -12.6
Villanova at Xavier • FINAL24-9 • 15-18Final Score: Villanova 92-89 Xavier
Villanova 64.4%Xavier 35.6%
80-77156.6Villanova -3.5
Northern Illinois at Buffalo • FINAL9-21 • 17-15Final Score: Northern Illinois 72-70 Buffalo
Buffalo 94.2%Northern Illinois 5.8%
68-85153.0Buffalo -17.5
Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan • FINAL10-21 • 10-21Final Score: Central Michigan 54-66 Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan 60.9%Central Michigan 39.1%
72-77148.6Eastern Michigan -4.4
Abilene Christian at Tarleton State • FINAL14-19 • 14-18Final Score: Abilene Christian 62-65 Tarleton State
Tarleton State 68.0%Abilene Christian 32.0%
70-76146.2Tarleton State -6.2
Wagner at Long Island University • FINAL14-17 • 24-11Final Score: Wagner 65-83 Long Island University
Long Island University 79.0%Wagner 21.0%
68-77144.9Long Island University -8.7
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.