Mid-Major College Basketball, All in One PlaceAdvanced Stats • Rankings • Daily Intelligence
MM
MID-MAJOR HOOPS
The rest of college basketball starts here.
THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayFebruary 18, 2026Next Day →
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Louisville at SMU • FINAL24-11 • 20-14Final Score: Louisville 85-95 SMU
Louisville 50.1%SMU 49.9%
82-82163.7SMU -0.0
Wisconsin at Ohio State • FINAL24-11 • 21-13Final Score: Wisconsin 69-86 Ohio State
Ohio State 62.5%Wisconsin 37.5%
78-81158.8Ohio State -3.8
North Carolina at NC State • FINAL24-9 • 20-14Final Score: North Carolina 58-82 NC State
North Carolina 51.5%NC State 48.5%
79-80158.6NC State -1.0
South Carolina at Florida • FINAL13-19 • 27-8Final Score: South Carolina 62-76 Florida
Florida 98.2%South Carolina 1.8%
66-92158.3Florida -25.9
UCLA at Michigan State • FINAL24-12 • 27-8Final Score: UCLA 59-82 Michigan State
Michigan State 78.0%UCLA 22.0%
70-79149.0Michigan State -9.4
Georgia at Kentucky • FINAL22-11 • 22-14Final Score: Georgia 86-78 Kentucky
Kentucky 61.9%Georgia 38.1%
82-85166.9Kentucky -3.1
Texas Tech at Arizona State • FINAL23-11 • 17-16Final Score: Texas Tech 67-72 Arizona State
Texas Tech 75.8%Arizona State 24.2%
82-75156.9Texas Tech -6.5
Saint Louis at Rhode Island • FINAL29-6 • 16-16Final Score: Saint Louis 76-81 Rhode Island
Saint Louis 77.6%Rhode Island 22.4%
79-70149.1Saint Louis -8.4
TCU at UCF • FINAL23-12 • 21-12Final Score: TCU 71-82 UCF
UCF 55.5%TCU 44.5%
78-80157.2UCF -2.0
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts • FINAL32-2 • 17-16Final Score: Miami (OH) 86-77 Massachusetts
Miami (OH) 62.6%Massachusetts 37.4%
85-81166.4Miami (OH) -3.5
Kent State at Bowling Green • FINAL24-10 • 18-14Final Score: Kent State 78-71 Bowling Green
Bowling Green 62.5%Kent State 37.5%
78-84162.4Bowling Green -5.4
Ball State at Ohio • FINAL12-19 • 15-17Final Score: Ball State 57-69 Ohio
Ohio 77.8%Ball State 22.2%
70-78147.8Ohio -8.0
Akron at Western Michigan • FINAL29-6 • 10-21Final Score: Akron 90-73 Western Michigan
Akron 88.6%Western Michigan 11.4%
87-74161.9Akron -13.1
George Washington at VCU • FINAL19-16 • 28-8Final Score: George Washington 75-89 VCU
VCU 76.3%George Washington 23.7%
75-82157.1VCU -7.8
Virginia Tech at Miami • FINAL19-13 • 26-9Final Score: Virginia Tech 66-67 Miami
Miami 79.9%Virginia Tech 20.1%
73-83156.0Miami -9.9
Fresno State at Wyoming • FINAL13-19 • 18-15Final Score: Fresno State 82-92 Wyoming
Wyoming 81.9%Fresno State 18.1%
70-80149.3Wyoming -9.9
Southeast Missouri State at UT Martin • FINAL20-13 • 22-11Final Score: Southeast Missouri State 56-53 UT Martin
UT Martin 57.7%Southeast Missouri State 42.3%
67-71138.3UT Martin -4.1
Baylor at Kansas State • FINAL16-17 • 12-20Final Score: Baylor 74-90 Kansas State
Baylor 69.1%Kansas State 30.9%
84-80164.0Baylor -4.1
Nebraska at Iowa • FINAL28-7 • 24-13Final Score: Nebraska 52-57 Iowa
Iowa 54.9%Nebraska 45.1%
70-72142.2Iowa -1.5
Air Force at New Mexico • FINAL3-29 • 26-11Final Score: Air Force 61-98 New Mexico
New Mexico 99.0%Air Force 1.0%
57-91147.9New Mexico -33.6
LSU at Texas • FINAL15-17 • 21-15Final Score: LSU 85-88 Texas
Texas 79.1%LSU 20.9%
77-86163.8Texas -9.0
Nevada at San José State • FINAL24-13 • 9-24Final Score: Nevada 71-87 San José State
Nevada 81.4%San José State 18.6%
80-71150.8Nevada -8.6
Grand Canyon at San Diego State • FINAL20-12 • 22-10Final Score: Grand Canyon 73-63 San Diego State
San Diego State 63.2%Grand Canyon 36.8%
71-76147.5San Diego State -4.7
Minnesota at Oregon • FINAL15-18 • 12-19Final Score: Minnesota 61-44 Oregon
Oregon 58.2%Minnesota 41.8%
69-72141.2Oregon -2.5
East Tennessee State at Furman • FINAL23-11 • 22-13Final Score: East Tennessee State 78-69 Furman
Furman 53.0%East Tennessee State 47.0%
73-75148.3Furman -1.5
Rutgers at Penn State • FINAL13-20 • 12-20Final Score: Rutgers 85-72 Penn State
Penn State 52.7%Rutgers 47.3%
75-77151.3Penn State -2.1
Lafayette at Holy Cross • FINAL11-21 • 11-22Final Score: Lafayette 86-83 Holy Cross
Holy Cross 57.9%Lafayette 42.1%
70-73143.0Holy Cross -3.1
VMI at Wofford • FINAL5-26 • 19-13Final Score: VMI 76-82 Wofford
Wofford 93.5%VMI 6.5%
68-85153.9Wofford -16.9
Butler at Georgetown • FINAL16-16 • 13-18Final Score: Butler 93-89 Georgetown
Georgetown 59.3%Butler 40.7%
71-74145.2Georgetown -3.1
Cleveland State at Youngstown State • FINAL11-22 • 14-17Final Score: Cleveland State 82-106 Youngstown State
Youngstown State 82.6%Cleveland State 17.4%
74-85159.0Youngstown State -11.8
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.