Mid-Major College Basketball, All in One PlaceAdvanced Stats • Rankings • Daily Intelligence
MM
MID-MAJOR HOOPS
The rest of college basketball starts here.
THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayFebruary 19, 2026Next Day →
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Oklahoma at Tennessee • FINAL21-16 • 25-12Final Score: Oklahoma 66-89 Tennessee
Tennessee 77.4%Oklahoma 22.6%
74-83157.4Tennessee -9.5
Arkansas at Alabama • FINAL28-9 • 24-10Final Score: Arkansas 115-117 Alabama
Alabama 63.0%Arkansas 37.0%
88-92180.1Alabama -3.8
St. John's at Marquette • FINAL30-6 • 12-20Final Score: St. John's 76-70 Marquette
St. John's 81.7%Marquette 18.3%
81-72152.8St. John's -9.3
Creighton at UConn • FINAL15-18 • 34-5Final Score: Creighton 91-84 UConn
UConn 93.7%Creighton 6.3%
65-83147.4UConn -17.9
BYU at Arizona • FINAL23-12 • 36-3Final Score: BYU 68-75 Arizona
Arizona 90.8%BYU 9.2%
73-88161.0Arizona -15.3
Kansas at Oklahoma State • FINAL24-11 • 20-15Final Score: Kansas 81-69 Oklahoma State
Kansas 60.8%Oklahoma State 39.2%
81-78158.7Kansas -2.4
Auburn at Mississippi State • FINAL21-16 • 13-19Final Score: Auburn 85-91 Mississippi State
Auburn 84.5%Mississippi State 15.5%
87-78165.4Auburn -8.8
Illinois at USC • FINAL28-9 • 18-14Final Score: Illinois 101-65 USC
Illinois 93.3%USC 6.7%
86-71157.4Illinois -14.8
Gonzaga at San Francisco • FINAL31-4 • 17-16Final Score: Gonzaga 80-59 San Francisco
Gonzaga 91.8%San Francisco 8.2%
83-68150.9Gonzaga -14.9
South Carolina Upstate at Winthrop • FINAL13-19 • 23-11Final Score: South Carolina Upstate 64-68 Winthrop
Winthrop 87.1%South Carolina Upstate 12.9%
72-85156.5Winthrop -12.9
New Hampshire at UMass Lowell • FINAL9-21 • 15-18Final Score: New Hampshire 56-78 UMass Lowell
UMass Lowell 83.2%New Hampshire 16.8%
69-79148.8UMass Lowell -10.1
Binghamton at Bryant • FINAL8-22 • 9-22Final Score: Binghamton 79-67 Bryant
Bryant 66.8%Binghamton 33.2%
66-71136.5Bryant -5.4
Lipscomb at Bellarmine • FINAL18-13 • 13-19Final Score: Lipscomb 75-72 Bellarmine
Bellarmine 54.4%Lipscomb 45.6%
80-80159.8Bellarmine -0.7
Jacksonville at Florida Gulf Coast • FINAL12-20 • 16-18Final Score: Jacksonville 84-86 Florida Gulf Coast
Florida Gulf Coast 74.4%Jacksonville 25.6%
72-80152.2Florida Gulf Coast -7.3
Vermont at UMBC • FINAL22-12 • 24-8Final Score: Vermont 62-75 UMBC
UMBC 76.5%Vermont 23.5%
66-74140.0UMBC -8.3
Florida International at Liberty • FINAL15-17 • 26-8Final Score: Florida International 89-90 Liberty
Liberty 70.6%Florida International 29.4%
75-82156.6Liberty -6.5
Marshall at App State • FINAL19-13 • 19-13Final Score: Marshall 94-93 App State
App State 68.0%Marshall 32.0%
72-78150.0App State -5.6
Southern Illinois at Drake • FINAL16-16 • 14-20Final Score: Southern Illinois 66-61 Drake
Southern Illinois 60.0%Drake 40.0%
74-73147.4Southern Illinois -1.4
Northern Iowa at Indiana State • FINAL23-13 • 11-21Final Score: Northern Iowa 81-60 Indiana State
Northern Iowa 79.3%Indiana State 20.7%
73-66139.1Northern Iowa -7.0
Murray State at Illinois State • FINAL20-13 • 23-13Final Score: Murray State 61-78 Illinois State
Illinois State 64.3%Murray State 35.7%
75-81155.8Illinois State -5.4
Bradley at Valparaiso • FINAL21-13 • 18-15Final Score: Bradley 72-79 Valparaiso
Valparaiso 50.2%Bradley 49.8%
74-75148.4Valparaiso -0.8
Oral Roberts at Omaha • FINAL10-23 • 16-17Final Score: Oral Roberts 71-80 Omaha
Omaha 69.2%Oral Roberts 30.8%
74-80154.1Omaha -6.5
American University at Bucknell • FINAL16-16 • 10-23Final Score: American University 75-57 Bucknell
American University 70.8%Bucknell 29.2%
76-70145.7American University -5.4
Saint Joseph's at St. Bonaventure • FINAL24-12 • 17-17Final Score: Saint Joseph's 71-65 St. Bonaventure
St. Bonaventure 63.2%Saint Joseph's 36.8%
72-76148.4St. Bonaventure -4.0
Loyola Chicago at Fordham • FINAL9-24 • 17-15Final Score: Loyola Chicago 59-62 Fordham
Fordham 85.0%Loyola Chicago 15.0%
62-76138.1Fordham -13.5
La Salle at Duquesne • FINAL9-23 • 18-15Final Score: La Salle 61-62 Duquesne
Duquesne 82.6%La Salle 17.4%
69-80148.5Duquesne -11.5
Dayton at George Mason • FINAL25-12 • 23-10Final Score: Dayton 82-67 George Mason
George Mason 54.1%Dayton 45.9%
70-72142.5George Mason -2.4
Richmond at Davidson • FINAL15-17 • 20-14Final Score: Richmond 63-65 Davidson
Davidson 69.4%Richmond 30.6%
70-76146.1Davidson -5.9
Wichita State at East Carolina • FINAL24-12 • 11-20Final Score: Wichita State 92-89 East Carolina
Wichita State 83.2%East Carolina 16.8%
80-70150.7Wichita State -9.8
UAB at Temple • FINAL20-12 • 16-16Final Score: UAB 76-71 Temple
UAB 54.0%Temple 46.0%
75-75150.7UAB -0.1
Clemson at Wake Forest • FINAL24-10 • 18-17Final Score: Clemson 77-85 Wake Forest
Wake Forest 56.3%Clemson 43.7%
73-74146.9Wake Forest -1.6
Army at Loyola Maryland • FINAL11-21 • 12-20Final Score: Army 87-77 Loyola Maryland
Loyola Maryland 72.2%Army 27.8%
73-80153.1Loyola Maryland -6.9
Lehigh at Navy • FINAL18-17 • 26-8Final Score: Lehigh 49-72 Navy
Navy 86.2%Lehigh 13.8%
65-78143.0Navy -13.1
Purdue Fort Wayne at Northern Kentucky • FINAL17-15 • 20-14Final Score: Purdue Fort Wayne 71-87 Northern Kentucky
Northern Kentucky 84.3%Purdue Fort Wayne 15.7%
75-86161.7Northern Kentucky -11.2
UNC Greensboro at Western Carolina • FINAL15-19 • 15-16Final Score: UNC Greensboro 77-91 Western Carolina
Western Carolina 77.0%UNC Greensboro 23.0%
76-85161.3Western Carolina -8.7
James Madison at Coastal Carolina • FINAL18-15 • 19-13Final Score: James Madison 67-65 Coastal Carolina
James Madison 52.6%Coastal Carolina 47.4%
74-75148.6Coastal Carolina -1.3
Ole Miss at Texas A&M • FINAL15-20 • 20-12Final Score: Ole Miss 77-80 Texas A&M
Texas A&M 74.4%Ole Miss 25.6%
74-82156.5Texas A&M -8.3
West Georgia at Eastern Kentucky • FINAL15-17 • 11-21Final Score: West Georgia 80-81 Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky 66.3%West Georgia 33.7%
79-84163.5Eastern Kentucky -5.4
Queens University at North Alabama • FINAL21-14 • 9-21Final Score: Queens University 85-78 North Alabama
Queens University 79.6%North Alabama 20.4%
84-77161.2Queens University -7.1
Western Kentucky at Delaware • FINAL18-14 • 10-21Final Score: Western Kentucky 88-87 Delaware
Western Kentucky 77.9%Delaware 22.1%
79-72150.2Western Kentucky -6.9
Troy at UL Monroe • FINAL22-12 • 4-28Final Score: Troy 77-76 UL Monroe
Troy 88.9%UL Monroe 11.1%
86-72157.5Troy -13.5
Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston • FINAL17-15 • 22-12Final Score: Middle Tennessee 70-78 Sam Houston
Sam Houston 71.3%Middle Tennessee 28.7%
74-81155.4Sam Houston -7.2
Jacksonville State at Louisiana Tech • FINAL15-17 • 20-14Final Score: Jacksonville State 71-77 Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech 60.1%Jacksonville State 39.9%
67-70137.1Louisiana Tech -3.8
UIC at Evansville • FINAL19-16 • 7-25Final Score: UIC 84-46 Evansville
UIC 90.8%Evansville 9.2%
79-66145.4UIC -13.1
Florida Atlantic at UTSA • FINAL18-15 • 5-25Final Score: Florida Atlantic 60-52 UTSA
Florida Atlantic 86.3%UTSA 13.7%
83-71154.0Florida Atlantic -11.6
Charlotte at Tulsa • FINAL17-17 • 30-8Final Score: Charlotte 74-79 Tulsa
Tulsa 90.3%Charlotte 9.7%
70-86155.9Tulsa -15.8
Maryland at Northwestern • FINAL12-20 • 15-19Final Score: Maryland 74-78 Northwestern
Northwestern 85.4%Maryland 14.6%
67-79146.2Northwestern -11.9
DePaul at Seton Hall • FINAL16-16 • 21-12Final Score: DePaul 69-57 Seton Hall
Seton Hall 81.4%DePaul 18.6%
63-73136.7Seton Hall -10.1
North Dakota State at South Dakota State • FINAL27-8 • 14-18Final Score: North Dakota State 74-66 South Dakota State
North Dakota State 63.1%South Dakota State 36.9%
77-74151.3North Dakota State -2.9
Kennesaw State at Missouri State • FINAL21-14 • 16-18Final Score: Kennesaw State 91-87 Missouri State
Kennesaw State 50.1%Missouri State 49.9%
78-78156.7Missouri State -0.2
Utah at West Virginia • FINAL10-22 • 21-14Final Score: Utah 61-56 West Virginia
West Virginia 87.1%Utah 12.9%
66-79145.5West Virginia -13.4
Saint Mary's at Seattle U • FINAL27-6 • 21-14Final Score: Saint Mary's 72-70 Seattle U
Saint Mary's 83.8%Seattle U 16.2%
74-66140.5Saint Mary's -8.5
Virginia at Georgia Tech • FINAL30-6 • 11-20Final Score: Virginia 94-68 Georgia Tech
Virginia 92.1%Georgia Tech 7.9%
83-69152.4Virginia -14.2
Vanderbilt at Missouri • FINAL27-9 • 20-13Final Score: Vanderbilt 80-81 Missouri
Vanderbilt 68.9%Missouri 31.1%
83-79161.5Vanderbilt -4.4
Pacific at Washington State • FINAL18-15 • 12-20Final Score: Pacific 70-87 Washington State
Washington State 60.1%Pacific 39.9%
73-76149.0Washington State -2.2
Pepperdine at Portland • FINAL9-23 • 15-19Final Score: Pepperdine 95-87 Portland
Portland 73.3%Pepperdine 26.7%
74-81154.9Portland -7.4
Boise State at Utah State • FINAL20-12 • 29-7Final Score: Boise State 56-75 Utah State
Utah State 76.9%Boise State 23.1%
73-82154.8Utah State -9.2
Colorado State at UNLV • FINAL21-13 • 18-16Final Score: Colorado State 91-86 UNLV
UNLV 55.5%Colorado State 44.5%
76-78154.9UNLV -2.1
North Carolina Central at South Carolina State • FINAL14-18 • 10-22Final Score: North Carolina Central 72-85 South Carolina State
North Carolina Central 52.0%South Carolina State 48.0%
74-74147.9North Carolina Central -0.7
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.