Mid-Major College Basketball, All in One PlaceAdvanced Stats • Rankings • Daily Intelligence
MM
MID-MAJOR HOOPS
The rest of college basketball starts here.
THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayFebruary 26, 2026Next Day →
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Mississippi State at Alabama • FINAL13-19 • 24-10Final Score: Mississippi State 75-100 Alabama
Alabama 96.4%Mississippi State 3.6%
76-97172.7Alabama -21.0
Portland at Gonzaga • FINAL15-19 • 31-4Final Score: Portland 48-89 Gonzaga
Gonzaga 98.6%Portland 1.4%
63-91154.1Gonzaga -28.6
DePaul at Creighton • FINAL16-16 • 15-18Final Score: DePaul 72-71 Creighton
Creighton 68.0%DePaul 32.0%
70-75145.9Creighton -5.0
Wisconsin at Oregon • FINAL24-11 • 12-19Final Score: Wisconsin 71-85 Oregon
Wisconsin 77.4%Oregon 22.6%
81-74154.2Wisconsin -6.9
Florida at Texas • FINAL27-8 • 21-15Final Score: Florida 84-71 Texas
Florida 81.9%Texas 18.1%
86-77163.0Florida -8.5
St. John's at UConn • FINAL30-6 • 34-5Final Score: St. John's 40-72 UConn
UConn 62.2%St. John's 37.8%
72-76147.3UConn -3.8
Texas A&M at Arkansas • FINAL20-12 • 28-9Final Score: Texas A&M 84-99 Arkansas
Arkansas 85.4%Texas A&M 14.6%
78-90168.3Arkansas -11.4
Xavier at Providence • FINAL15-18 • 15-18Final Score: Xavier 84-94 Providence
Providence 73.7%Xavier 26.3%
81-88169.5Providence -7.4
Wofford at East Tennessee State • FINAL19-13 • 23-11Final Score: Wofford 72-69 East Tennessee State
East Tennessee State 81.9%Wofford 18.1%
71-82153.6East Tennessee State -11.0
Illinois State at Northern Iowa • FINAL23-13 • 23-13Final Score: Illinois State 71-69 Northern Iowa
Northern Iowa 77.8%Illinois State 22.2%
64-72136.0Northern Iowa -7.9
Lafayette at Colgate • FINAL11-21 • 18-15Final Score: Lafayette 70-69 Colgate
Colgate 82.3%Lafayette 17.7%
69-80148.8Colgate -10.7
Lehigh at American University • FINAL18-17 • 16-16Final Score: Lehigh 78-73 American University
American University 70.6%Lehigh 29.4%
70-77147.4American University -7.0
Rhode Island at St. Bonaventure • FINAL16-16 • 17-17Final Score: Rhode Island 76-94 St. Bonaventure
St. Bonaventure 67.0%Rhode Island 33.0%
70-75144.9St. Bonaventure -4.7
George Mason at Saint Joseph's • FINAL23-10 • 24-12Final Score: George Mason 63-81 Saint Joseph's
Saint Joseph's 50.8%George Mason 49.2%
71-72142.4Saint Joseph's -1.1
Davidson at Duquesne • FINAL20-14 • 18-15Final Score: Davidson 67-56 Duquesne
Duquesne 56.3%Davidson 43.7%
73-75147.8Duquesne -2.8
North Texas at Charlotte • FINAL19-14 • 17-17Final Score: North Texas 79-80 Charlotte
Charlotte 54.6%North Texas 45.4%
71-72143.5Charlotte -1.3
Maryland at Nebraska • FINAL12-20 • 28-7Final Score: Maryland 61-74 Nebraska
Nebraska 95.5%Maryland 4.5%
62-83144.9Nebraska -21.0
Holy Cross at Boston University • FINAL11-22 • 16-18Final Score: Holy Cross 63-78 Boston University
Boston University 86.9%Holy Cross 13.1%
67-79146.4Boston University -12.1
Butler at Villanova • FINAL16-16 • 24-9Final Score: Butler 73-82 Villanova
Villanova 77.8%Butler 22.2%
73-82155.4Villanova -9.0
Navy at Loyola Maryland • FINAL26-8 • 12-20Final Score: Navy 78-51 Loyola Maryland
Navy 78.1%Loyola Maryland 21.9%
77-69146.4Navy -7.5
Detroit Mercy at Robert Morris • FINAL17-15 • 22-11Final Score: Detroit Mercy 62-73 Robert Morris
Robert Morris 80.2%Detroit Mercy 19.8%
72-82154.4Robert Morris -9.8
Wright State at Purdue Fort Wayne • FINAL23-12 • 17-15Final Score: Wright State 74-70 Purdue Fort Wayne
Wright State 73.4%Purdue Fort Wayne 26.6%
81-76157.9Wright State -5.0
Northern Kentucky at Cleveland State • FINAL20-14 • 11-22Final Score: Northern Kentucky 81-70 Cleveland State
Northern Kentucky 79.3%Cleveland State 20.7%
88-80168.4Northern Kentucky -8.4
Mercer at Western Carolina • FINAL19-13 • 15-16Final Score: Mercer 74-78 Western Carolina
Western Carolina 59.5%Mercer 40.5%
79-81160.7Western Carolina -1.9
Georgia Southern at James Madison • FINAL21-16 • 18-15Final Score: Georgia Southern 66-82 James Madison
James Madison 70.4%Georgia Southern 29.6%
76-82157.5James Madison -6.0
Georgia at Vanderbilt • FINAL22-11 • 27-9Final Score: Georgia 80-88 Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt 74.0%Georgia 26.0%
82-89170.6Vanderbilt -7.0
Lipscomb at West Georgia • FINAL18-13 • 15-17Final Score: Lipscomb 78-84 West Georgia
West Georgia 50.8%Lipscomb 49.2%
78-78156.2West Georgia -0.2
Queens University at Eastern Kentucky • FINAL21-14 • 11-21Final Score: Queens University 96-79 Eastern Kentucky
Queens University 55.6%Eastern Kentucky 44.4%
85-85170.9Eastern Kentucky -0.1
Evansville at Belmont • FINAL7-25 • 26-6Final Score: Evansville 64-98 Belmont
Belmont 98.0%Evansville 2.0%
63-89152.3Belmont -25.4
Tulsa at Tulane • FINAL30-8 • 18-15Final Score: Tulsa 90-56 Tulane
Tulsa 85.5%Tulane 14.5%
83-73156.0Tulsa -10.8
Drake at Valparaiso • FINAL14-20 • 18-15Final Score: Drake 71-74 Valparaiso
Valparaiso 71.1%Drake 28.9%
71-77147.8Valparaiso -6.1
Indiana State at Southern Illinois • FINAL11-21 • 16-16Final Score: Indiana State 55-66 Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois 83.8%Indiana State 16.2%
68-79146.2Southern Illinois -10.9
South Florida at Rice • FINAL25-9 • 13-18Final Score: South Florida 75-56 Rice
South Florida 89.4%Rice 10.6%
86-73159.2South Florida -12.4
East Carolina at UTSA • FINAL11-20 • 5-25Final Score: East Carolina 82-81 UTSA
East Carolina 73.7%UTSA 26.3%
78-73151.5East Carolina -5.0
Pittsburgh at Stanford • FINAL13-20 • 20-13Final Score: Pittsburgh 67-75 Stanford
Stanford 81.4%Pittsburgh 18.6%
68-78146.5Stanford -9.7
Youngstown State at Milwaukee • FINAL14-17 • 12-20Final Score: Youngstown State 65-78 Milwaukee
Milwaukee 58.2%Youngstown State 41.8%
76-77153.1Milwaukee -1.8
UL Monroe at South Alabama • FINAL4-28 • 21-12Final Score: UL Monroe 54-89 South Alabama
South Alabama 94.2%UL Monroe 5.8%
67-86152.5South Alabama -19.3
Central Arkansas at Austin Peay • FINAL22-12 • 22-9Final Score: Central Arkansas 93-88 Austin Peay
Austin Peay 64.5%Central Arkansas 35.5%
77-82158.5Austin Peay -5.0
Bellarmine at North Alabama • FINAL13-19 • 9-21Final Score: Bellarmine 68-73 North Alabama
Bellarmine 64.7%North Alabama 35.3%
80-78157.4Bellarmine -2.3
Seattle U at Pepperdine • FINAL21-14 • 9-23Final Score: Seattle U 87-80 Pepperdine
Seattle U 72.3%Pepperdine 27.7%
76-70146.4Seattle U -6.4
Kansas State at Colorado • FINAL12-20 • 17-16Final Score: Kansas State 70-79 Colorado
Colorado 75.6%Kansas State 24.4%
79-87165.4Colorado -7.7
Ohio State at Iowa • FINAL21-13 • 24-13Final Score: Ohio State 57-74 Iowa
Iowa 61.7%Ohio State 38.3%
72-76147.5Iowa -4.3
UNLV at Grand Canyon • FINAL18-16 • 20-12Final Score: UNLV 67-80 Grand Canyon
Grand Canyon 78.4%UNLV 21.6%
72-81153.1Grand Canyon -9.7
LSU at Ole Miss • FINAL15-17 • 15-20Final Score: LSU 106-99 Ole Miss
Ole Miss 59.3%LSU 40.7%
78-81159.4Ole Miss -2.7
San Diego at Oregon State • FINAL12-21 • 17-16Final Score: San Diego 82-92 Oregon State
Oregon State 81.4%San Diego 18.6%
71-80150.5Oregon State -9.0
SMU at California • FINAL20-14 • 22-12Final Score: SMU 69-73 California
SMU 54.0%California 46.0%
80-80160.3California -0.3
Washington State at Loyola Marymount • FINAL12-20 • 15-17Final Score: Washington State 66-67 Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount 65.5%Washington State 34.5%
73-79152.0Loyola Marymount -5.7
Santa Clara at Saint Mary's • FINAL26-9 • 27-6Final Score: Santa Clara 67-86 Saint Mary's
Saint Mary's 76.0%Santa Clara 24.0%
71-79150.5Saint Mary's -7.7
Utah State at San Diego State • FINAL29-7 • 22-10Final Score: Utah State 72-89 San Diego State
Utah State 52.9%San Diego State 47.1%
76-77152.9San Diego State -0.4
Charleston at Hampton • FINAL21-11 • 13-19Final Score: Charleston 85-71 Hampton
Charleston 66.2%Hampton 33.8%
74-72145.4Charleston -2.2
Bethune-Cookman at Grambling • FINAL17-15 • 14-19Final Score: Bethune-Cookman 76-71 Grambling
Grambling 54.9%Bethune-Cookman 45.1%
72-75147.5Grambling -3.3
New Hampshire at Binghamton • FINAL9-21 • 8-22Final Score: New Hampshire 63-65 Binghamton
Binghamton 58.2%New Hampshire 41.8%
69-72140.6Binghamton -2.6
Bryant at UMBC • FINAL9-22 • 24-8Final Score: Bryant 58-70 UMBC
UMBC 96.4%Bryant 3.6%
58-79137.2UMBC -21.2
Maine at UAlbany • FINAL8-24 • 11-20Final Score: Maine 70-59 UAlbany
UAlbany 77.0%Maine 23.0%
62-71133.6UAlbany -8.6
Omaha at South Dakota • FINAL16-17 • 16-16Final Score: Omaha 72-89 South Dakota
South Dakota 60.6%Omaha 39.4%
78-82159.7South Dakota -3.4
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.