Mid-Major College Basketball, All in One PlaceAdvanced Stats • Rankings • Daily Intelligence
MM
MID-MAJOR HOOPS
The rest of college basketball starts here.
THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayFebruary 27, 2026Next Day →
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Michigan State at Purdue • FINAL27-8 • 30-9Final Score: Michigan State 76-74 Purdue
Purdue 70.8%Michigan State 29.2%
73-79151.6Purdue -5.7
Alcorn State at Texas Southern • FINAL9-23 • 12-17Final Score: Alcorn State 87-92 Texas Southern
Texas Southern 86.0%Alcorn State 14.0%
68-81148.5Texas Southern -13.3
Florida A&M at Southern • FINAL14-16 • 17-17Final Score: Florida A&M 82-71 Southern
Southern 74.6%Florida A&M 25.4%
72-81153.1Southern -8.3
New Haven at Wagner • FINAL14-17 • 14-17Final Score: New Haven 62-65 Wagner
Wagner 71.3%New Haven 28.7%
65-71135.9Wagner -6.5
Temple at Florida Atlantic • FINAL16-16 • 18-15Final Score: Temple 73-77 Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic 64.3%Temple 35.7%
73-78150.7Florida Atlantic -5.2
Winthrop at Charleston Southern • FINAL23-11 • 15-17Final Score: Winthrop 84-86 Charleston Southern
Winthrop 61.3%Charleston Southern 38.7%
84-82166.2Winthrop -2.0
South Carolina Upstate at Radford • FINAL13-19 • 16-16Final Score: South Carolina Upstate 59-71 Radford
Radford 72.9%South Carolina Upstate 27.1%
75-82157.1Radford -6.7
UNC Asheville at Gardner-Webb • FINAL15-17 • 4-29Final Score: UNC Asheville 77-71 Gardner-Webb
UNC Asheville 85.6%Gardner-Webb 14.4%
82-70152.0UNC Asheville -11.8
High Point at Presbyterian • FINAL31-5 • 15-18Final Score: High Point 79-73 Presbyterian
High Point 87.9%Presbyterian 12.1%
84-71155.2High Point -12.8
Mercyhurst at Central Connecticut • FINAL17-17 • 18-12Final Score: Mercyhurst 78-80 Central Connecticut
Central Connecticut 59.5%Mercyhurst 40.5%
69-72140.5Central Connecticut -3.5
Saint Francis at Stonehill • FINAL7-24 • 12-21Final Score: Saint Francis 77-103 Stonehill
Stonehill 74.8%Saint Francis 25.2%
67-77144.0Stonehill -9.1
Chicago State at Long Island University • FINAL7-25 • 24-11Final Score: Chicago State 56-73 Long Island University
Long Island University 88.9%Chicago State 11.1%
65-79144.2Long Island University -14.8
Fairleigh Dickinson at Le Moyne • FINAL11-21 • 15-17Final Score: Fairleigh Dickinson 59-76 Le Moyne
Le Moyne 74.2%Fairleigh Dickinson 25.8%
67-75141.7Le Moyne -7.4
UMass Lowell at Vermont • FINAL15-18 • 22-12Final Score: UMass Lowell 64-66 Vermont
Vermont 82.4%UMass Lowell 17.6%
69-79147.6Vermont -10.6
Campbell at Drexel • FINAL15-18 • 17-16Final Score: Campbell 60-65 Drexel
Campbell 50.1%Drexel 49.9%
72-74146.8Drexel -2.1
Elon at Towson • FINAL14-18 • 19-15Final Score: Elon 56-58 Towson
Towson 81.1%Elon 18.9%
68-78146.4Towson -9.7
North Carolina A&T at UNC Wilmington • FINAL11-19 • 27-7Final Score: North Carolina A&T 65-88 UNC Wilmington
UNC Wilmington 92.0%North Carolina A&T 8.0%
67-83150.3UNC Wilmington -16.5
Stony Brook at Monmouth • FINAL17-15 • 19-15Final Score: Stony Brook 69-82 Monmouth
Monmouth 75.6%Stony Brook 24.4%
68-75143.5Monmouth -7.4
Northeastern at William & Mary • FINAL8-23 • 20-12Final Score: Northeastern 77-84 William & Mary
William & Mary 87.5%Northeastern 12.5%
74-88162.4William & Mary -13.9
UNC Greensboro at Chattanooga • FINAL15-19 • 13-19Final Score: UNC Greensboro 85-80 Chattanooga
Chattanooga 60.3%UNC Greensboro 39.7%
77-82158.9Chattanooga -4.6
Stetson at Jacksonville • FINAL12-21 • 12-20Final Score: Stetson 85-89 Jacksonville
Jacksonville 71.3%Stetson 28.7%
72-80151.9Jacksonville -7.6
Florida Gulf Coast at North Florida • FINAL16-18 • 7-25Final Score: Florida Gulf Coast 70-76 North Florida
Florida Gulf Coast 70.3%North Florida 29.7%
85-80165.4Florida Gulf Coast -5.3
Delaware at Jacksonville State • FINAL10-21 • 15-17Final Score: Delaware 70-80 Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State 85.7%Delaware 14.3%
64-77141.3Jacksonville State -12.7
Liberty at Kennesaw State • FINAL26-8 • 21-14Final Score: Liberty 65-74 Kennesaw State
Kennesaw State 67.5%Liberty 32.5%
76-81156.6Kennesaw State -5.5
Missouri State at Louisiana Tech • FINAL16-18 • 20-14Final Score: Missouri State 70-72 Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech 60.3%Missouri State 39.7%
69-73141.7Louisiana Tech -4.6
UTEP at Middle Tennessee • FINAL11-20 • 17-15Final Score: UTEP 67-77 Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee 80.4%UTEP 19.6%
68-78145.7Middle Tennessee -9.9
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky • FINAL16-16 • 18-14Final Score: New Mexico State 70-93 Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky 73.1%New Mexico State 26.9%
74-80153.5Western Kentucky -6.5
Denver at Oral Roberts • FINAL15-17 • 10-23Final Score: Denver 80-102 Oral Roberts
Denver 57.5%Oral Roberts 42.5%
81-81162.3Denver -0.6
South Dakota State at Kansas City • FINAL14-18 • 4-27Final Score: South Dakota State 73-59 Kansas City
South Dakota State 89.6%Kansas City 10.4%
83-70153.1South Dakota State -13.2
VMI at Samford • FINAL5-26 • 18-14Final Score: VMI 61-80 Samford
Samford 96.4%VMI 3.6%
66-87152.9Samford -20.4
Morehead State at Little Rock • FINAL20-13 • 12-20Final Score: Morehead State 76-70 Little Rock
Little Rock 53.5%Morehead State 46.5%
73-75148.7Little Rock -1.7
Tarleton State at Utah Valley • FINAL14-18 • 25-9Final Score: Tarleton State 72-79 Utah Valley
Utah Valley 89.3%Tarleton State 10.7%
68-82149.9Utah Valley -14.6
Tennessee Tech at UT Martin • FINAL13-18 • 22-11Final Score: Tennessee Tech 49-64 UT Martin
UT Martin 76.0%Tennessee Tech 24.0%
65-75139.9UT Martin -9.7
Western Illinois at SIU Edwardsville • FINAL5-26 • 19-13Final Score: Western Illinois 47-67 SIU Edwardsville
SIU Edwardsville 95.5%Western Illinois 4.5%
59-79137.9SIU Edwardsville -20.9
Tennessee State at Southeast Missouri State • FINAL23-10 • 20-13Final Score: Tennessee State 79-71 Southeast Missouri State
Southeast Missouri State 52.1%Tennessee State 47.9%
75-77151.9Southeast Missouri State -1.5
Eastern Illinois at Lindenwood • FINAL13-20 • 18-15Final Score: Eastern Illinois 71-67 Lindenwood
Lindenwood 78.2%Eastern Illinois 21.8%
67-77144.5Lindenwood -9.9
Wichita State at Memphis • FINAL24-12 • 13-19Final Score: Wichita State 88-82 Memphis
Wichita State 77.0%Memphis 23.0%
79-73152.5Wichita State -6.2
UC Riverside at UC Santa Barbara • FINAL10-22 • 18-14Final Score: UC Riverside 59-70 UC Santa Barbara
UC Santa Barbara 83.8%UC Riverside 16.2%
70-82152.6UC Santa Barbara -12.0
North Dakota State at St. Thomas-Minnesota • FINAL27-8 • 24-10Final Score: North Dakota State 62-84 St. Thomas-Minnesota
St. Thomas-Minnesota 64.5%North Dakota State 35.5%
75-79154.4St. Thomas-Minnesota -4.3
Hawai'i at UC Davis • FINAL24-9 • 19-14Final Score: Hawai'i 77-73 UC Davis
Hawai'i 54.0%UC Davis 46.0%
78-76153.9Hawai'i -1.2
Portland State at Montana State • FINAL20-11 • 18-14Final Score: Portland State 69-84 Montana State
Montana State 70.8%Portland State 29.2%
72-78149.7Montana State -5.8
Sacramento State at Montana • FINAL10-21 • 18-16Final Score: Sacramento State 73-81 Montana
Montana 68.5%Sacramento State 31.5%
76-83159.2Montana -7.3
Northern Arizona at Idaho • FINAL10-22 • 21-15Final Score: Northern Arizona 58-78 Idaho
Idaho 91.1%Northern Arizona 8.9%
68-83151.0Idaho -15.6
Northern Colorado at Eastern Washington • FINAL20-12 • 14-19Final Score: Northern Colorado 72-82 Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington 58.7%Northern Colorado 41.3%
80-82162.0Eastern Washington -1.7
Abilene Christian at Utah Tech • FINAL14-19 • 19-15Final Score: Abilene Christian 81-85 Utah Tech
Utah Tech 74.2%Abilene Christian 25.8%
70-78148.6Utah Tech -7.6
Florida International at Sam Houston • FINAL15-17 • 22-12Final Score: Florida International 67-100 Sam Houston
Sam Houston 75.8%Florida International 24.2%
77-85162.0Sam Houston -8.3
Jackson State at Prairie View A&M • FINAL12-21 • 19-18Final Score: Jackson State 76-85 Prairie View A&M
Prairie View A&M 84.9%Jackson State 15.1%
72-86157.4Prairie View A&M -13.6
Long Beach State at Cal Poly • FINAL10-22 • 14-19Final Score: Long Beach State 92-102 Cal Poly
Cal Poly 75.2%Long Beach State 24.8%
79-86164.3Cal Poly -7.0
UC Irvine at Cal State Northridge • FINAL23-12 • 20-14Final Score: UC Irvine 68-67 Cal State Northridge
UC Irvine 60.5%Cal State Northridge 39.5%
79-77156.4UC Irvine -2.6
Cal State Bakersfield at UC San Diego • FINAL8-24 • 23-11Final Score: Cal State Bakersfield 72-84 UC San Diego
UC San Diego 94.6%Cal State Bakersfield 5.4%
67-86152.8UC San Diego -19.6
UT Arlington at California Baptist • FINAL18-14 • 25-9Final Score: UT Arlington 56-68 California Baptist
California Baptist 81.4%UT Arlington 18.6%
64-73137.5California Baptist -9.3
Yale at Cornell • FINAL23-7 • 15-13Final Score: Yale 69-72 Cornell
Yale 62.9%Cornell 37.1%
83-80163.3Yale -2.4
Quinnipiac at Niagara • FINAL19-13 • 8-22Final Score: Quinnipiac 76-78 Niagara
Quinnipiac 76.6%Niagara 23.4%
74-67141.2Quinnipiac -6.9
Miami (OH) at Western Michigan • FINAL32-2 • 10-21Final Score: Miami (OH) 69-67 Western Michigan
Miami (OH) 81.5%Western Michigan 18.5%
87-77163.9Miami (OH) -10.1
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.