Mid-Major College Basketball, All in One PlaceAdvanced Stats • Rankings • Daily Intelligence
MM
MID-MAJOR HOOPS
The rest of college basketball starts here.
THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayFebruary 28, 2026Next Day →
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Michigan at Illinois • FINAL36-3 • 28-9Final Score: Michigan 84-70 Illinois
Illinois 50.5%Michigan 49.5%
79-79157.9Illinois -0.3
Virginia at Duke • FINAL30-6 • 35-3Final Score: Virginia 51-77 Duke
Duke 87.4%Virginia 12.6%
68-81148.6Duke -12.7
Louisville at Clemson • FINAL24-11 • 24-10Final Score: Louisville 75-80 Clemson
Louisville 57.3%Clemson 42.7%
74-73147.4Louisville -1.4
Kansas at Arizona • FINAL24-11 • 36-3Final Score: Kansas 61-84 Arizona
Arizona 92.4%Kansas 7.6%
68-84151.7Arizona -16.5
Alabama at Tennessee • FINAL24-10 • 25-12Final Score: Alabama 71-69 Tennessee
Tennessee 60.1%Alabama 39.9%
81-85165.6Tennessee -4.2
Providence at Creighton • FINAL15-18 • 15-18Final Score: Providence 79-76 Creighton
Creighton 52.7%Providence 47.3%
81-83164.2Creighton -2.1
Wisconsin at Washington • FINAL24-11 • 16-17Final Score: Wisconsin 90-73 Washington
Wisconsin 57.8%Washington 42.2%
79-79158.0Wisconsin -0.8
Colorado at Houston • FINAL17-16 • 29-7Final Score: Colorado 62-102 Houston
Houston 95.7%Colorado 4.3%
66-86151.6Houston -20.6
Seton Hall at UConn • FINAL21-12 • 34-5Final Score: Seton Hall 67-71 UConn
UConn 87.7%Seton Hall 12.3%
63-76138.2UConn -12.8
Vanderbilt at Kentucky • FINAL27-9 • 22-14Final Score: Vanderbilt 77-91 Kentucky
Vanderbilt 51.2%Kentucky 48.8%
81-81161.6Kentucky -0.2
UCLA at Minnesota • FINAL24-12 • 15-18Final Score: UCLA 73-78 Minnesota
UCLA 70.8%Minnesota 29.2%
74-70143.3UCLA -4.0
Texas Tech at Iowa State • FINAL23-11 • 28-8Final Score: Texas Tech 82-73 Iowa State
Iowa State 83.7%Texas Tech 16.3%
70-82152.3Iowa State -11.6
BYU at West Virginia • FINAL23-12 • 21-14Final Score: BYU 71-79 West Virginia
BYU 57.8%West Virginia 42.2%
75-74148.8BYU -1.0
Louisiana at Arkansas State • FINAL11-22 • 20-12Final Score: Louisiana 58-81 Arkansas State
Arkansas State 93.3%Louisiana 6.7%
65-83148.3Arkansas State -17.5
Dayton at George Washington • FINAL25-12 • 19-16Final Score: Dayton 68-66 George Washington
George Washington 62.2%Dayton 37.8%
73-78151.3George Washington -4.7
Rider at Iona • FINAL4-25 • 18-14Final Score: Rider 58-80 Iona
Iona 92.4%Rider 7.6%
63-80143.6Iona -17.0
Brown at Columbia • FINAL9-18 • 16-12Final Score: Brown 62-80 Columbia
Columbia 86.4%Brown 13.6%
67-78145.1Columbia -11.9
Siena at Fairfield • FINAL23-12 • 21-13Final Score: Siena 58-72 Fairfield
Fairfield 52.4%Siena 47.6%
70-71140.7Fairfield -1.6
Mount St. Mary's at Sacred Heart • FINAL15-17 • 14-19Final Score: Mount St. Mary's 69-77 Sacred Heart
Sacred Heart 59.8%Mount St. Mary's 40.2%
71-75145.7Sacred Heart -3.6
Merrimack at Canisius • FINAL23-11 • 10-21Final Score: Merrimack 62-67 Canisius
Merrimack 84.5%Canisius 15.5%
71-62132.3Merrimack -8.9
Manhattan at Saint Peter's • FINAL12-20 • 17-12Final Score: Manhattan 65-75 Saint Peter's
Saint Peter's 80.6%Manhattan 19.4%
68-79147.0Saint Peter's -10.8
Harvard at Princeton • FINAL17-12 • 9-20Final Score: Harvard 58-56 Princeton
Harvard 62.4%Princeton 37.6%
70-68137.8Harvard -2.4
Dartmouth at Pennsylvania • FINAL11-16 • 18-12Final Score: Dartmouth 71-80 Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania 85.8%Dartmouth 14.2%
71-83153.8Pennsylvania -11.2
UL Monroe at Troy • FINAL4-28 • 22-12Final Score: UL Monroe 65-80 Troy
Troy 95.7%UL Monroe 4.3%
68-90157.5Troy -21.7
Old Dominion at Georgia State • FINAL12-21 • 10-22Final Score: Old Dominion 81-73 Georgia State
Old Dominion 60.2%Georgia State 39.8%
76-75151.4Old Dominion -0.8
App State at Texas State • FINAL19-13 • 19-13Final Score: App State 57-60 Texas State
App State 50.6%Texas State 49.4%
70-71141.3Texas State -0.8
Coastal Carolina at James Madison • FINAL19-13 • 18-15Final Score: Coastal Carolina 69-68 James Madison
James Madison 75.4%Coastal Carolina 24.6%
71-78148.6James Madison -6.9
Southern Miss at South Alabama • FINAL19-16 • 21-12Final Score: Southern Miss 68-55 South Alabama
South Alabama 66.3%Southern Miss 33.7%
71-76147.6South Alabama -5.4
Georgia Southern at Marshall • FINAL21-16 • 19-13Final Score: Georgia Southern 99-82 Marshall
Marshall 69.7%Georgia Southern 30.3%
79-85164.2Marshall -6.6
Jackson State at Texas Southern • FINAL12-21 • 12-17Final Score: Jackson State 57-82 Texas Southern
Texas Southern 83.7%Jackson State 16.3%
70-83152.7Texas Southern -12.5
Bethune-Cookman at Southern • FINAL17-15 • 17-17Final Score: Bethune-Cookman 82-79 Southern
Southern 63.2%Bethune-Cookman 36.8%
77-82158.2Southern -5.0
North Dakota at North Dakota State • FINAL18-17 • 27-8Final Score: North Dakota 63-96 North Dakota State
North Dakota State 90.1%North Dakota 9.9%
70-85154.7North Dakota State -15.3
Chicago State at Wagner • FINAL7-25 • 14-17Final Score: Chicago State 61-80 Wagner
Wagner 78.0%Chicago State 22.0%
66-76142.6Wagner -10.2
Fairleigh Dickinson at Long Island University • FINAL11-21 • 24-11Final Score: Fairleigh Dickinson 60-74 Long Island University
Long Island University 86.2%Fairleigh Dickinson 13.8%
65-77141.3Long Island University -11.9
Texas at Texas A&M • FINAL21-15 • 20-12Final Score: Texas 76-70 Texas A&M
Texas A&M 52.7%Texas 47.3%
79-81160.8Texas A&M -2.0
Saint Joseph's at Rhode Island • FINAL24-12 • 16-16Final Score: Saint Joseph's 61-55 Rhode Island
Rhode Island 58.5%Saint Joseph's 41.5%
69-72140.4Rhode Island -3.3
Iowa at Penn State • FINAL24-13 • 12-20Final Score: Iowa 69-71 Penn State
Iowa 87.3%Penn State 12.7%
80-68148.2Iowa -11.3
NC State at Notre Dame • FINAL20-14 • 13-17Final Score: NC State 90-96 Notre Dame
NC State 65.7%Notre Dame 34.3%
81-77158.2NC State -3.7
Florida State at Georgia Tech • FINAL18-15 • 11-20Final Score: Florida State 80-71 Georgia Tech
Florida State 78.9%Georgia Tech 21.1%
82-76157.9Florida State -6.1
Fordham at VCU • FINAL17-15 • 28-8Final Score: Fordham 63-82 VCU
VCU 90.2%Fordham 9.8%
65-79144.3VCU -13.8
Army at Lafayette • FINAL11-21 • 11-21Final Score: Army 77-83 Lafayette
Lafayette 69.4%Army 30.6%
71-77147.9Lafayette -5.6
Cleveland State at Robert Morris • FINAL11-22 • 22-11Final Score: Cleveland State 64-83 Robert Morris
Robert Morris 93.3%Cleveland State 6.7%
72-90161.3Robert Morris -17.7
Saint Francis at Central Connecticut • FINAL7-24 • 18-12Final Score: Saint Francis 64-69 Central Connecticut
Central Connecticut 86.0%Saint Francis 14.0%
68-82150.3Central Connecticut -13.5
Le Moyne at New Haven • FINAL15-17 • 14-17Final Score: Le Moyne 59-66 New Haven
New Haven 51.9%Le Moyne 48.1%
68-70137.7New Haven -1.6
Missouri at Mississippi State • FINAL20-13 • 13-19Final Score: Missouri 88-64 Mississippi State
Missouri 71.0%Mississippi State 29.0%
83-78160.9Missouri -4.8
New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee • FINAL16-16 • 17-15Final Score: New Mexico State 85-86 Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee 65.8%New Mexico State 34.2%
72-77149.0Middle Tennessee -4.6
Georgetown at Xavier • FINAL13-18 • 15-18Final Score: Georgetown 84-91 Xavier
Xavier 57.1%Georgetown 42.9%
72-74146.4Xavier -2.3
Bucknell at Lehigh • FINAL10-23 • 18-17Final Score: Bucknell 79-89 Lehigh
Lehigh 82.3%Bucknell 17.7%
68-78146.0Lehigh -10.6
St. Bonaventure at George Mason • FINAL17-17 • 23-10Final Score: St. Bonaventure 58-71 George Mason
George Mason 72.2%St. Bonaventure 27.8%
70-77146.9George Mason -7.2
Oklahoma State at Cincinnati • FINAL20-15 • 18-15Final Score: Oklahoma State 68-91 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 80.2%Oklahoma State 19.8%
73-83156.4Cincinnati -9.8
Oregon at Northwestern • FINAL12-19 • 15-19Final Score: Oregon 62-63 Northwestern
Northwestern 77.4%Oregon 22.6%
69-77145.8Northwestern -8.5
Boston University at American University • FINAL16-18 • 16-16Final Score: Boston University 68-65 American University
American University 56.8%Boston University 43.2%
73-77149.3American University -3.8
Gardner-Webb at South Carolina Upstate • FINAL4-29 • 13-19Final Score: Gardner-Webb 61-71 South Carolina Upstate
South Carolina Upstate 91.7%Gardner-Webb 8.3%
67-86153.1South Carolina Upstate -18.1
Charleston Southern at UNC Asheville • FINAL15-17 • 15-17Final Score: Charleston Southern 92-75 UNC Asheville
UNC Asheville 61.7%Charleston Southern 38.3%
77-81158.2UNC Asheville -3.3
San Diego State at New Mexico • FINAL22-10 • 26-11Final Score: San Diego State 76-81 New Mexico
New Mexico 71.3%San Diego State 28.7%
73-79152.3New Mexico -6.6
Boston College at Miami • FINAL11-20 • 26-9Final Score: Boston College 54-76 Miami
Miami 94.2%Boston College 5.8%
64-82146.2Miami -18.5
Loyola Maryland at Holy Cross • FINAL12-20 • 11-22Final Score: Loyola Maryland 76-62 Holy Cross
Holy Cross 54.6%Loyola Maryland 45.4%
73-75148.1Holy Cross -1.9
South Dakota State at South Dakota • FINAL14-18 • 16-16Final Score: South Dakota State 70-75 South Dakota
South Dakota State 53.4%South Dakota 46.6%
79-78157.1South Dakota State -0.3
Youngstown State at Green Bay • FINAL14-17 • 18-15Final Score: Youngstown State 63-85 Green Bay
Green Bay 72.4%Youngstown State 27.6%
72-77149.3Green Bay -5.5
Massachusetts at Bowling Green • FINAL17-16 • 18-14Final Score: Massachusetts 62-81 Bowling Green
Bowling Green 70.4%Massachusetts 29.6%
76-83158.7Bowling Green -7.7
Central Michigan at Buffalo • FINAL10-21 • 17-15Final Score: Central Michigan 75-70 Buffalo
Buffalo 75.8%Central Michigan 24.2%
73-82154.9Buffalo -8.5
Akron at Kent State • FINAL29-6 • 24-10Final Score: Akron 92-70 Kent State
Akron 67.4%Kent State 32.6%
86-82168.1Akron -4.2
Mercyhurst at Stonehill • FINAL17-17 • 12-21Final Score: Mercyhurst 75-72 Stonehill
Mercyhurst 58.4%Stonehill 41.6%
68-67134.4Mercyhurst -0.9
New Hampshire at UAlbany • FINAL9-21 • 11-20Final Score: New Hampshire 61-84 UAlbany
UAlbany 80.0%New Hampshire 20.0%
66-75141.6UAlbany -9.4
UMBC at UMass Lowell • FINAL24-8 • 15-18Final Score: UMBC 84-60 UMass Lowell
UMBC 76.8%UMass Lowell 23.2%
76-70145.7UMBC -6.7
Maine at Binghamton • FINAL8-24 • 8-22Final Score: Maine 67-74 Binghamton
Binghamton 53.8%Maine 46.2%
65-67132.5Binghamton -1.8
William & Mary at North Carolina A&T • FINAL20-12 • 11-19Final Score: William & Mary 91-88 North Carolina A&T
William & Mary 69.6%North Carolina A&T 30.4%
83-78160.6William & Mary -4.6
Campbell at Towson • FINAL15-18 • 19-15Final Score: Campbell 67-71 Towson
Towson 69.7%Campbell 30.3%
70-77146.8Towson -6.8
The Citadel at Wofford • FINAL11-22 • 19-13Final Score: The Citadel 93-90 Wofford
Wofford 87.4%The Citadel 12.6%
71-84154.2Wofford -13.0
VMI at Chattanooga • FINAL5-26 • 13-19Final Score: VMI 79-86 Chattanooga
Chattanooga 91.5%VMI 8.5%
68-84151.6Chattanooga -15.5
Queens University at Central Arkansas • FINAL21-14 • 22-12Final Score: Queens University 79-84 Central Arkansas
Central Arkansas 68.3%Queens University 31.7%
80-87166.7Central Arkansas -6.9
North Alabama at West Georgia • FINAL9-21 • 15-17Final Score: North Alabama 63-75 West Georgia
West Georgia 81.4%North Alabama 18.6%
72-82154.0West Georgia -10.0
Florida Gulf Coast at Stetson • FINAL16-18 • 12-21Final Score: Florida Gulf Coast 63-78 Stetson
Florida Gulf Coast 61.0%Stetson 39.0%
79-77156.4Florida Gulf Coast -2.6
Austin Peay at Bellarmine • FINAL22-9 • 13-19Final Score: Austin Peay 97-111 Bellarmine
Austin Peay 64.4%Bellarmine 35.6%
83-79162.6Austin Peay -4.3
Radford at Longwood • FINAL16-16 • 16-16Final Score: Radford 74-90 Longwood
Longwood 60.1%Radford 39.9%
78-82159.5Longwood -4.0
Detroit Mercy at Oakland • FINAL17-15 • 16-16Final Score: Detroit Mercy 95-89 Oakland
Oakland 72.9%Detroit Mercy 27.1%
78-85163.7Oakland -6.8
Elon at Monmouth • FINAL14-18 • 19-15Final Score: Elon 57-73 Monmouth
Monmouth 77.8%Elon 22.2%
72-80151.7Monmouth -8.3
Sacramento State at Montana State • FINAL10-21 • 18-14Final Score: Sacramento State 61-82 Montana State
Montana State 84.4%Sacramento State 15.6%
73-85157.6Montana State -12.5
Florida International at Louisiana Tech • FINAL15-17 • 20-14Final Score: Florida International 84-76 Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech 62.2%Florida International 37.8%
72-76147.8Louisiana Tech -4.5
UTEP at Western Kentucky • FINAL11-20 • 18-14Final Score: UTEP 65-97 Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky 85.3%UTEP 14.7%
69-81150.2Western Kentucky -11.8
Utah at Arizona State • FINAL10-22 • 17-16Final Score: Utah 60-73 Arizona State
Arizona State 78.6%Utah 21.4%
74-83157.0Arizona State -8.8
South Carolina at Georgia • FINAL13-19 • 22-11Final Score: South Carolina 68-87 Georgia
Georgia 90.7%South Carolina 9.3%
74-90164.8Georgia -15.9
Air Force at Wyoming • FINAL3-29 • 18-15Final Score: Air Force 62-66 Wyoming
Wyoming 98.5%Air Force 1.5%
59-87146.6Wyoming -27.6
North Carolina Central at Delaware State • FINAL14-18 • 8-22Final Score: North Carolina Central 74-60 Delaware State
North Carolina Central 58.9%Delaware State 41.1%
69-68136.3North Carolina Central -0.8
Howard at Morgan State • FINAL24-11 • 14-16Final Score: Howard 84-59 Morgan State
Howard 84.4%Morgan State 15.6%
81-71152.3Howard -10.0
Richmond at Loyola Chicago • FINAL15-17 • 9-24Final Score: Richmond 66-69 Loyola Chicago
Richmond 66.9%Loyola Chicago 33.1%
76-72147.7Richmond -4.6
Nebraska at USC • FINAL28-7 • 18-14Final Score: Nebraska 82-67 USC
Nebraska 82.8%USC 17.2%
80-71151.7Nebraska -8.8
Presbyterian at Winthrop • FINAL15-18 • 23-11Final Score: Presbyterian 70-74 Winthrop
Winthrop 82.9%Presbyterian 17.1%
71-83154.2Winthrop -11.5
Pittsburgh at California • FINAL13-20 • 22-12Final Score: Pittsburgh 72-56 California
California 76.5%Pittsburgh 23.5%
70-78148.1California -8.8
Colgate at Navy • FINAL18-15 • 26-8Final Score: Colgate 69-85 Navy
Navy 80.2%Colgate 19.8%
68-78145.6Navy -10.3
Toledo at Ohio • FINAL19-15 • 15-17Final Score: Toledo 79-67 Ohio
Toledo 66.7%Ohio 33.3%
82-79160.7Toledo -3.3
Ball State at Northern Illinois • FINAL12-19 • 9-21Final Score: Ball State 79-43 Northern Illinois
Ball State 69.8%Northern Illinois 30.2%
73-69142.2Ball State -3.9
NJIT at Bryant • FINAL16-17 • 9-22Final Score: NJIT 52-69 Bryant
Bryant 50.5%NJIT 49.5%
68-70138.1Bryant -1.5
Northeastern at Hampton • FINAL8-23 • 13-19Final Score: Northeastern 65-76 Hampton
Hampton 68.3%Northeastern 31.7%
71-78149.6Hampton -6.9
SE Louisiana at Nicholls • FINAL9-21 • 14-19Final Score: SE Louisiana 60-68 Nicholls
Nicholls 74.2%SE Louisiana 25.8%
66-73138.2Nicholls -7.1
Portland State at Montana • FINAL20-11 • 18-16Final Score: Portland State 68-74 Montana
Portland State 50.6%Montana 49.4%
75-76151.2Montana -0.6
Northern Colorado at Idaho • FINAL20-12 • 21-15Final Score: Northern Colorado 76-67 Idaho
Idaho 61.1%Northern Colorado 38.9%
77-81157.9Idaho -3.8
Northern Arizona at Eastern Washington • FINAL10-22 • 14-19Final Score: Northern Arizona 57-88 Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington 90.2%Northern Arizona 9.8%
71-84155.0Eastern Washington -13.5
Lipscomb at Eastern Kentucky • FINAL18-13 • 11-21Final Score: Lipscomb 80-77 Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky 54.9%Lipscomb 45.1%
79-81159.9Eastern Kentucky -1.5
Southern Indiana at Little Rock • FINAL7-22 • 12-20Final Score: Southern Indiana 70-89 Little Rock
Little Rock 77.8%Southern Indiana 22.2%
66-74140.7Little Rock -7.9
Abilene Christian at Utah Valley • FINAL14-19 • 25-9Final Score: Abilene Christian 67-74 Utah Valley
Utah Valley 91.4%Abilene Christian 8.6%
65-82146.7Utah Valley -16.7
South Carolina State at Maryland Eastern Shore • FINAL10-22 • 9-23Final Score: South Carolina State 57-69 Maryland Eastern Shore
Maryland Eastern Shore 67.5%South Carolina State 32.5%
67-74140.3Maryland Eastern Shore -6.8
Norfolk State at Coppin State • FINAL15-17 • 7-24Final Score: Norfolk State 75-69 Coppin State
Norfolk State 80.3%Coppin State 19.7%
80-70149.5Norfolk State -9.5
East Tennessee State at Mercer • FINAL23-11 • 19-13Final Score: East Tennessee State 76-82 Mercer
Mercer 53.5%East Tennessee State 46.5%
77-79155.1Mercer -1.9
Stephen F. Austin at Houston Christian • FINAL28-6 • 12-20Final Score: Stephen F. Austin 77-56 Houston Christian
Stephen F. Austin 85.6%Houston Christian 14.4%
76-65141.0Stephen F. Austin -11.0
Tennessee State at UT Martin • FINAL23-10 • 22-11Final Score: Tennessee State 67-42 UT Martin
Tennessee State 52.9%UT Martin 47.1%
71-73144.0UT Martin -1.5
Lindenwood at Western Illinois • FINAL18-15 • 5-26Final Score: Lindenwood 91-69 Western Illinois
Lindenwood 86.0%Western Illinois 14.0%
79-68147.3Lindenwood -11.6
Eastern Illinois at SIU Edwardsville • FINAL13-20 • 19-13Final Score: Eastern Illinois 50-77 SIU Edwardsville
SIU Edwardsville 81.6%Eastern Illinois 18.4%
62-73135.3SIU Edwardsville -11.0
Tennessee Tech at Southeast Missouri State • FINAL13-18 • 20-13Final Score: Tennessee Tech 73-89 Southeast Missouri State
Southeast Missouri State 79.5%Tennessee Tech 20.5%
69-79147.7Southeast Missouri State -9.7
Colorado State at San José State • FINAL21-13 • 9-24Final Score: Colorado State 85-73 San José State
Colorado State 72.8%San José State 27.2%
78-72150.3Colorado State -5.8
San Diego at Portland • FINAL12-21 • 15-19Final Score: San Diego 74-87 Portland
Portland 69.7%San Diego 30.3%
75-80155.3Portland -5.5
Alabama State at Alabama A&M • FINAL10-22 • 18-15Final Score: Alabama State 89-88 Alabama A&M
Alabama A&M 72.9%Alabama State 27.1%
71-78148.8Alabama A&M -7.2
Lamar at Incarnate Word • FINAL12-19 • 12-19Final Score: Lamar 60-72 Incarnate Word
Incarnate Word 63.8%Lamar 36.2%
70-74144.0Incarnate Word -3.9
Brown at Cornell • FINAL9-18 • 15-13Final Score: Brown 80-86 Cornell
Cornell 91.0%Brown 9.0%
73-86159.3Cornell -13.7
Delaware at Kennesaw State • FINAL10-21 • 21-14Final Score: Delaware 82-90 Kennesaw State
Kennesaw State 90.8%Delaware 9.2%
68-84152.3Kennesaw State -15.8
Alcorn State at Prairie View A&M • FINAL9-23 • 19-18Final Score: Alcorn State 51-72 Prairie View A&M
Prairie View A&M 87.0%Alcorn State 13.0%
69-84153.1Prairie View A&M -14.4
Furman at Western Carolina • FINAL22-13 • 15-16Final Score: Furman 67-86 Western Carolina
Western Carolina 60.1%Furman 39.9%
76-78153.9Western Carolina -2.4
East Texas A&M at UT Rio Grande Valley • FINAL11-21 • 19-14Final Score: East Texas A&M 55-63 UT Rio Grande Valley
UT Rio Grande Valley 92.0%East Texas A&M 8.0%
65-81145.8UT Rio Grande Valley -16.2
Missouri State at Sam Houston • FINAL16-18 • 22-12Final Score: Missouri State 81-86 Sam Houston
Sam Houston 74.4%Missouri State 25.6%
74-82155.7Sam Houston -8.4
Syracuse at Wake Forest • FINAL15-16 • 18-17Final Score: Syracuse 83-88 Wake Forest
Wake Forest 75.2%Syracuse 24.8%
74-81155.0Wake Forest -7.0
San Francisco at Pacific • FINAL17-16 • 18-15Final Score: San Francisco 72-61 Pacific
Pacific 61.1%San Francisco 38.9%
70-75145.4Pacific -4.5
Mississippi Valley State at Arkansas-Pine Bluff • FINAL3-30 • 13-19Final Score: Mississippi Valley State 70-69 Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 94.5%Mississippi Valley State 5.5%
68-87155.4Arkansas-Pine Bluff -19.3
Dartmouth at Princeton • FINAL11-16 • 9-20Final Score: Dartmouth 61-82 Princeton
Princeton 68.0%Dartmouth 32.0%
71-76147.6Princeton -4.9
SMU at Stanford • FINAL20-14 • 20-13Final Score: SMU 75-95 Stanford
Stanford 53.5%SMU 46.5%
79-80158.7Stanford -1.2
Yale at Columbia • FINAL23-7 • 16-12Final Score: Yale 60-54 Columbia
Yale 73.0%Columbia 27.0%
77-72149.0Yale -4.2
Harvard at Pennsylvania • FINAL17-12 • 18-12Final Score: Harvard 61-64 Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania 63.2%Harvard 36.8%
70-74143.9Pennsylvania -3.8
UNC Greensboro at Samford • FINAL15-19 • 18-14Final Score: UNC Greensboro 78-87 Samford
Samford 79.1%UNC Greensboro 20.9%
75-85160.2Samford -9.6
McNeese at New Orleans • FINAL27-6 • 16-18Final Score: McNeese 66-63 New Orleans
McNeese 84.2%New Orleans 15.8%
80-70149.3McNeese -10.2
Weber State at Idaho State • FINAL16-16 • 13-20Final Score: Weber State 83-73 Idaho State
Idaho State 50.8%Weber State 49.2%
79-79157.7Idaho State -0.5
Oklahoma at LSU • FINAL21-16 • 15-17Final Score: Oklahoma 83-67 LSU
Oklahoma 59.2%LSU 40.8%
83-82164.6Oklahoma -0.5
Jacksonville at North Florida • FINAL12-20 • 7-25Final Score: Jacksonville 85-61 North Florida
Jacksonville 57.5%North Florida 42.5%
81-79160.8Jacksonville -2.2
Liberty at Jacksonville State • FINAL26-8 • 15-17Final Score: Liberty 81-78 Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State 55.7%Liberty 44.3%
72-74145.5Jacksonville State -2.4
TCU at Kansas State • FINAL23-12 • 12-20Final Score: TCU 77-68 Kansas State
TCU 71.0%Kansas State 29.0%
82-77158.7TCU -4.8
Northwestern State at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi • FINAL10-21 • 18-15Final Score: Northwestern State 59-71 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 79.1%Northwestern State 20.9%
63-73136.9Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -10.0
Florida A&M at Grambling • FINAL14-16 • 14-19Final Score: Florida A&M 66-59 Grambling
Grambling 67.5%Florida A&M 32.5%
68-75142.5Grambling -6.6
Valparaiso at Evansville • FINAL18-15 • 7-25Final Score: Valparaiso 79-80 Evansville
Valparaiso 82.2%Evansville 17.8%
76-68143.8Valparaiso -8.2
Purdue Fort Wayne at IU Indianapolis • FINAL17-15 • 7-25Final Score: Purdue Fort Wayne 87-81 IU Indianapolis
IU Indianapolis 51.0%Purdue Fort Wayne 49.0%
84-84168.7IU Indianapolis -0.3
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

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1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.