#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Iowa at Iowa State • FINAL24-13 • 28-8Final Score: Iowa 62-66 Iowa State
Iowa State 86.0%Iowa 14.0%
66-79144.8Iowa State -12.7App State at East Carolina • FINAL19-13 • 11-20Final Score: App State 67-54 East Carolina
App State 64.4%East Carolina 35.6%
74-70143.9App State -3.9Western Carolina at Virginia Tech • FINAL15-16 • 19-13Final Score: Western Carolina 74-96 Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech 73.7%Western Carolina 26.3%
75-83157.9Virginia Tech -8.0UT Arlington at UT Rio Grande Valley • FINAL18-14 • 19-14Final Score: UT Arlington 58-50 UT Rio Grande Valley
UT Rio Grande Valley 76.9%UT Arlington 23.1%
66-74140.8UT Rio Grande Valley -7.8Alabama State at Missouri • FINAL10-22 • 20-13Final Score: Alabama State 77-85 Missouri
Missouri 93.4%Alabama State 6.6%
69-86155.3Missouri -17.2Saint Joseph's at Syracuse • FINAL24-12 • 15-16Final Score: Saint Joseph's 63-71 Syracuse
Syracuse 61.7%Saint Joseph's 38.3%
72-76147.2Syracuse -3.9North Dakota State at Cal State Bakersfield • FINAL27-8 • 8-24Final Score: North Dakota State 80-69 Cal State Bakersfield
North Dakota State 92.2%Cal State Bakersfield 7.8%
86-70155.7North Dakota State -15.4Army at UMBC • FINAL11-21 • 24-8Final Score: Army 63-60 UMBC
UMBC 95.2%Army 4.8%
63-82144.7UMBC -19.4THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.