THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Texas at UConn • FINAL21-15 • 34-5Final Score: Texas 63-71 UConn
UConn 81.3%Texas 18.7%
71-81152.5UConn -10.3
Marquette at Purdue • FINAL12-20 • 30-9Final Score: Marquette 59-79 Purdue
Purdue 94.5%Marquette 5.5%
68-86154.3Purdue -18.4
Iona at St. John's • FINAL18-14 • 30-6Final Score: Iona 64-91 St. John's
St. John's 95.8%Iona 4.2%
65-85150.3St. John's -20.3
South Carolina Upstate at North Carolina • FINAL13-19 • 24-9Final Score: South Carolina Upstate 62-80 North Carolina
North Carolina 94.9%South Carolina Upstate 5.1%
67-85151.7North Carolina -18.3
Texas Tech at Arkansas • FINAL23-11 • 28-9Final Score: Texas Tech 86-93 Arkansas
Arkansas 71.1%Texas Tech 28.9%
80-87167.1Arkansas -6.4
Michigan State at Penn State • FINAL27-8 • 12-20Final Score: Michigan State 76-72 Penn State
Michigan State 92.8%Penn State 7.2%
84-68152.1Michigan State -15.4
George Washington at Florida • FINAL19-16 • 27-8Final Score: George Washington 70-80 Florida
Florida 93.9%George Washington 6.1%
72-89160.8Florida -17.4
New Orleans at Houston • FINAL16-18 • 29-7Final Score: New Orleans 57-99 Houston
Houston 97.7%New Orleans 2.3%
62-86147.7Houston -24.5
Kansas State at Creighton • FINAL12-20 • 15-18Final Score: Kansas State 83-76 Creighton
Creighton 71.1%Kansas State 28.9%
76-83159.4Creighton -6.5
Memphis at Louisville • FINAL13-19 • 24-11Final Score: Memphis 73-99 Louisville
Louisville 93.5%Memphis 6.5%
70-88157.4Louisville -18.1
Chattanooga at Auburn • FINAL13-19 • 21-16Final Score: Chattanooga 78-92 Auburn
Auburn 92.9%Chattanooga 7.1%
73-88160.6Auburn -15.5
Kansas at NC State • FINAL24-11 • 20-14Final Score: Kansas 77-76 NC State
NC State 57.4%Kansas 42.6%
76-79154.1NC State -2.9
Nebraska at Illinois • FINAL28-7 • 28-9Final Score: Nebraska 83-80 Illinois
Illinois 82.7%Nebraska 17.3%
69-80148.9Illinois -10.1
South Carolina State at Queens University • FINAL10-22 • 21-14Final Score: South Carolina State 78-102 Queens University
Queens University 94.6%South Carolina State 5.4%
71-90160.6Queens University -18.7
Missouri State at Xavier • FINAL16-18 • 15-18Final Score: Missouri State 57-75 Xavier
Xavier 58.2%Missouri State 41.8%
77-80156.7Xavier -2.6
Maryland Eastern Shore at North Carolina A&T • FINAL9-23 • 11-19Final Score: Maryland Eastern Shore 79-82 North Carolina A&T
North Carolina A&T 82.4%Maryland Eastern Shore 17.6%
67-77144.5North Carolina A&T -9.9
East Tennessee State at Austin Peay • FINAL23-11 • 22-9Final Score: East Tennessee State 75-76 Austin Peay
Austin Peay 55.5%East Tennessee State 44.5%
75-78153.1Austin Peay -2.5
East Texas A&M at McNeese • FINAL11-21 • 27-6Final Score: East Texas A&M 66-102 McNeese
McNeese 97.5%East Texas A&M 2.5%
60-84144.0McNeese -23.6
California Baptist at Eastern Washington • FINAL25-9 • 14-19Final Score: California Baptist 88-83 Eastern Washington
California Baptist 54.0%Eastern Washington 46.0%
76-74150.2California Baptist -1.3
UC Santa Barbara at Utah Valley • FINAL18-14 • 25-9Final Score: UC Santa Barbara 53-68 Utah Valley
Utah Valley 79.7%UC Santa Barbara 20.3%
71-81151.4Utah Valley -10.2
Illinois State at Utah State • FINAL23-13 • 29-7Final Score: Illinois State 78-83 Utah State
Utah State 85.6%Illinois State 14.4%
69-81149.4Utah State -11.6
UAlbany at Florida Atlantic • FINAL11-20 • 18-15Final Score: UAlbany 79-105 Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic 83.1%UAlbany 16.9%
68-79147.3Florida Atlantic -11.1
Massachusetts at Florida State • FINAL17-16 • 18-15Final Score: Massachusetts 103-95 Florida State
Florida State 78.8%Massachusetts 21.2%
77-85162.1Florida State -8.1
DePaul at Wichita State • FINAL16-16 • 24-12Final Score: DePaul 61-58 Wichita State
Wichita State 89.6%DePaul 10.4%
66-79144.9Wichita State -13.7
Central Michigan at Stony Brook • FINAL10-21 • 17-15Final Score: Central Michigan 55-78 Stony Brook
Stony Brook 69.0%Central Michigan 31.0%
70-77147.7Stony Brook -6.9
UL Monroe at Miami • FINAL4-28 • 26-9Final Score: UL Monroe 79-104 Miami
Miami 98.7%UL Monroe 1.3%
64-94157.8Miami -29.3
Old Dominion at George Mason • FINAL12-21 • 23-10Final Score: Old Dominion 61-73 George Mason
George Mason 82.9%Old Dominion 17.1%
69-80149.0George Mason -11.5
Northern Illinois at Elon • FINAL9-21 • 14-18Final Score: Northern Illinois 79-85 Elon
Elon 91.1%Northern Illinois 8.9%
70-85154.1Elon -15.0
Toledo at Robert Morris • FINAL19-15 • 22-11Final Score: Toledo 70-75 Robert Morris
Robert Morris 55.7%Toledo 44.3%
77-80156.3Robert Morris -2.7
Oklahoma at Oklahoma State • FINAL21-16 • 20-15Final Score: Oklahoma 85-76 Oklahoma State
Oklahoma 61.0%Oklahoma State 39.0%
85-84169.2Oklahoma -1.4
Cal State Northridge at Delaware • FINAL20-14 • 10-21Final Score: Cal State Northridge 88-66 Delaware
Cal State Northridge 65.4%Delaware 34.6%
79-75153.9Cal State Northridge -3.3
St. Thomas-Minnesota at UNC Asheville • FINAL24-10 • 15-17Final Score: St. Thomas-Minnesota 80-59 UNC Asheville
St. Thomas-Minnesota 71.0%UNC Asheville 29.0%
78-73151.8St. Thomas-Minnesota -4.8
Western Illinois at North Dakota • FINAL5-26 • 18-17Final Score: Western Illinois 69-66 North Dakota
North Dakota 92.4%Western Illinois 7.6%
66-83149.2North Dakota -16.3
North Dakota State at Drake • FINAL27-8 • 14-20Final Score: North Dakota State 99-94 Drake
North Dakota State 71.0%Drake 29.0%
79-74152.3North Dakota State -5.1
Jacksonville State at Georgia State • FINAL15-17 • 10-22Final Score: Jacksonville State 73-77 Georgia State
Jacksonville State 70.3%Georgia State 29.7%
74-69143.4Jacksonville State -4.6
Jackson State at Northwestern • FINAL12-21 • 15-19Final Score: Jackson State 53-93 Northwestern
Northwestern 96.3%Jackson State 3.7%
65-87151.7Northwestern -21.8
Boston University at Dartmouth • FINAL16-18 • 11-16Final Score: Boston University 64-77 Dartmouth
Boston University 62.1%Dartmouth 37.9%
77-76153.4Boston University -1.0
Sacred Heart at NJIT • FINAL14-19 • 16-17Final Score: Sacred Heart 65-49 NJIT
NJIT 54.1%Sacred Heart 45.9%
73-74147.0NJIT -1.5
Northern Kentucky at Bellarmine • FINAL20-14 • 13-19Final Score: Northern Kentucky 80-76 Bellarmine
Northern Kentucky 62.1%Bellarmine 37.9%
85-81166.2Northern Kentucky -3.3
Providence at Butler • FINAL15-18 • 16-16Final Score: Providence 110-113 Butler
Butler 58.5%Providence 41.5%
82-86168.3Butler -3.5
Manhattan at Fordham • FINAL12-20 • 17-15Final Score: Manhattan 53-82 Fordham
Fordham 85.0%Manhattan 15.0%
66-79144.5Fordham -13.0
UMass Lowell at Quinnipiac • FINAL15-18 • 19-13Final Score: UMass Lowell 71-75 Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac 78.8%UMass Lowell 21.2%
71-80151.1Quinnipiac -9.7
Mercyhurst at Davidson • FINAL17-17 • 20-14Final Score: Mercyhurst 47-80 Davidson
Davidson 79.3%Mercyhurst 20.7%
64-73137.4Davidson -8.9
Cincinnati at Georgia • FINAL18-15 • 22-11Final Score: Cincinnati 65-84 Georgia
Georgia 69.0%Cincinnati 31.0%
76-82157.8Georgia -6.7
Evansville at Notre Dame • FINAL7-25 • 13-17Final Score: Evansville 58-82 Notre Dame
Notre Dame 92.6%Evansville 7.4%
66-82148.3Notre Dame -16.2
Canisius at Maine • FINAL10-21 • 8-24Final Score: Canisius 70-43 Maine
Maine 66.8%Canisius 33.2%
62-67129.8Maine -5.2
Prairie View A&M at South Dakota • FINAL19-18 • 16-16Final Score: Prairie View A&M 85-97 South Dakota
South Dakota 68.0%Prairie View A&M 32.0%
78-83161.1South Dakota -4.9
Saint Peter's at Georgetown • FINAL17-12 • 13-18Final Score: Saint Peter's 68-76 Georgetown
Georgetown 72.2%Saint Peter's 27.8%
64-70134.4Georgetown -6.0
Miami (OH) at Eastern Kentucky • FINAL32-2 • 11-21Final Score: Miami (OH) 79-69 Eastern Kentucky
Miami (OH) 77.4%Eastern Kentucky 22.6%
89-80169.0Miami (OH) -8.3
Tulsa at New Mexico State • FINAL30-8 • 16-16Final Score: Tulsa 83-70 New Mexico State
Tulsa 73.2%New Mexico State 26.8%
80-75155.5Tulsa -5.3
Hampton at Howard • FINAL13-19 • 24-11Final Score: Hampton 57-61 Howard
Howard 88.4%Hampton 11.6%
65-79144.3Howard -13.4
Southern Miss at Ole Miss • FINAL19-16 • 15-20Final Score: Southern Miss 67-71 Ole Miss
Ole Miss 70.2%Southern Miss 29.8%
73-79152.4Ole Miss -5.8
Delaware State at Longwood • FINAL8-22 • 16-16Final Score: Delaware State 81-76 Longwood
Longwood 93.3%Delaware State 6.7%
61-78139.0Longwood -17.2
Louisiana at Louisiana Tech • FINAL11-22 • 20-14Final Score: Louisiana 44-65 Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech 86.0%Louisiana 14.0%
60-73132.9Louisiana Tech -13.1
Arkansas State at Rice • FINAL20-12 • 13-18Final Score: Arkansas State 76-77 Rice
Arkansas State 71.0%Rice 29.0%
81-76157.4Arkansas State -4.5
UNC Wilmington at Valparaiso • FINAL27-7 • 18-15Final Score: UNC Wilmington 73-70 Valparaiso
UNC Wilmington 62.9%Valparaiso 37.1%
74-71144.4UNC Wilmington -2.9
Mercer at Clemson • FINAL19-13 • 24-10Final Score: Mercer 63-70 Clemson
Clemson 76.0%Mercer 24.0%
70-78148.2Clemson -7.7
UIC at Belmont • FINAL19-16 • 26-6Final Score: UIC 84-87 Belmont
Belmont 74.6%UIC 25.4%
73-81153.9Belmont -8.2
UC Davis at Oregon • FINAL19-14 • 12-19Final Score: UC Davis 62-104 Oregon
Oregon 63.8%UC Davis 36.2%
74-77150.6Oregon -3.4
Cal State Fullerton at Denver • FINAL18-16 • 15-17Final Score: Cal State Fullerton 105-86 Denver
Denver 61.7%Cal State Fullerton 38.3%
84-87171.4Denver -3.2
Murray State at Akron • FINAL20-13 • 29-6Final Score: Murray State 115-100 Akron
Akron 86.6%Murray State 13.4%
77-91167.7Akron -13.3
UTSA at Colorado • FINAL5-25 • 17-16Final Score: UTSA 64-88 Colorado
Colorado 95.2%UTSA 4.8%
69-89158.3Colorado -19.5
Hofstra at Syracuse • FINAL24-11 • 15-16Final Score: Hofstra 70-69 Syracuse
Hofstra 57.0%Syracuse 43.0%
74-73146.5Hofstra -0.9
Marist at Bryant • FINAL19-12 • 9-22Final Score: Marist 82-74 Bryant
Marist 79.8%Bryant 20.2%
71-63133.9Marist -8.5
Niagara at Morgan State • FINAL8-22 • 14-16Final Score: Niagara 73-81 Morgan State
Morgan State 66.0%Niagara 34.0%
70-75144.9Morgan State -5.1
Central Connecticut at Binghamton • FINAL18-12 • 8-22Final Score: Central Connecticut 84-67 Binghamton
Central Connecticut 69.6%Binghamton 30.4%
73-68141.1Central Connecticut -4.8
La Salle at Long Island University • FINAL9-23 • 24-11Final Score: La Salle 60-70 Long Island University
Long Island University 81.8%La Salle 18.2%
67-77143.6Long Island University -10.6
Pittsburgh at Villanova • FINAL13-20 • 24-9Final Score: Pittsburgh 61-79 Villanova
Villanova 81.8%Pittsburgh 18.2%
68-78146.2Villanova -10.7
SE Louisiana at Houston Christian • FINAL9-21 • 12-20Final Score: SE Louisiana 74-71 Houston Christian
Houston Christian 64.5%SE Louisiana 35.5%
65-69133.3Houston Christian -4.2
Montana State at Oregon State • FINAL18-14 • 17-16Final Score: Montana State 57-67 Oregon State
Montana State 51.5%Oregon State 48.5%
75-74148.6Montana State -0.7
Northwestern State at California • FINAL10-21 • 22-12Final Score: Northwestern State 70-79 California
California 90.0%Northwestern State 10.0%
65-79143.8California -14.7
St. Bonaventure at Ohio • FINAL17-17 • 15-17Final Score: St. Bonaventure 83-88 Ohio
St. Bonaventure 50.6%Ohio 49.4%
78-79156.5Ohio -0.5
Northern Arizona at San Diego • FINAL10-22 • 12-21Final Score: Northern Arizona 69-78 San Diego
San Diego 69.7%Northern Arizona 30.3%
73-79152.1San Diego -6.3
Southern Utah at Washington • FINAL10-22 • 16-17Final Score: Southern Utah 69-105 Washington
Washington 91.3%Southern Utah 8.7%
70-86156.1Washington -15.4
Oakland at Northern Iowa • FINAL16-16 • 23-13Final Score: Oakland 63-75 Northern Iowa
Northern Iowa 80.9%Oakland 19.1%
69-80148.7Northern Iowa -10.5
Southern Illinois at Richmond • FINAL16-16 • 15-17Final Score: Southern Illinois 84-93 Richmond
Richmond 50.5%Southern Illinois 49.5%
73-75147.8Richmond -1.3
Mount St. Mary's at Loyola Maryland • FINAL15-17 • 12-20Final Score: Mount St. Mary's 81-73 Loyola Maryland
Loyola Maryland 57.7%Mount St. Mary's 42.3%
72-74145.9Loyola Maryland -2.9
Central Arkansas at Vanderbilt • FINAL22-12 • 27-9Final Score: Central Arkansas 72-83 Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt 89.7%Central Arkansas 10.3%
74-88162.1Vanderbilt -14.2
Wright State at Marshall • FINAL23-12 • 19-13Final Score: Wright State 74-76 Marshall
Wright State 51.5%Marshall 48.5%
80-80160.3Marshall -0.7
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.