#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Texas at UConn • FINAL21-15 • 34-5Final Score: Texas 63-71 UConn
UConn 81.3%Texas 18.7%
71-81152.5UConn -10.3Marquette at Purdue • FINAL12-20 • 30-9Final Score: Marquette 59-79 Purdue
Purdue 94.5%Marquette 5.5%
68-86154.3Purdue -18.4Iona at St. John's • FINAL18-14 • 30-6Final Score: Iona 64-91 St. John's
St. John's 95.8%Iona 4.2%
65-85150.3St. John's -20.3South Carolina Upstate at North Carolina • FINAL13-19 • 24-9Final Score: South Carolina Upstate 62-80 North Carolina
North Carolina 94.9%South Carolina Upstate 5.1%
67-85151.7North Carolina -18.3Texas Tech at Arkansas • FINAL23-11 • 28-9Final Score: Texas Tech 86-93 Arkansas
Arkansas 71.1%Texas Tech 28.9%
80-87167.1Arkansas -6.4Michigan State at Penn State • FINAL27-8 • 12-20Final Score: Michigan State 76-72 Penn State
Michigan State 92.8%Penn State 7.2%
84-68152.1Michigan State -15.4George Washington at Florida • FINAL19-16 • 27-8Final Score: George Washington 70-80 Florida
Florida 93.9%George Washington 6.1%
72-89160.8Florida -17.4New Orleans at Houston • FINAL16-18 • 29-7Final Score: New Orleans 57-99 Houston
Houston 97.7%New Orleans 2.3%
62-86147.7Houston -24.5Kansas State at Creighton • FINAL12-20 • 15-18Final Score: Kansas State 83-76 Creighton
Creighton 71.1%Kansas State 28.9%
76-83159.4Creighton -6.5Memphis at Louisville • FINAL13-19 • 24-11Final Score: Memphis 73-99 Louisville
Louisville 93.5%Memphis 6.5%
70-88157.4Louisville -18.1Chattanooga at Auburn • FINAL13-19 • 21-16Final Score: Chattanooga 78-92 Auburn
Auburn 92.9%Chattanooga 7.1%
73-88160.6Auburn -15.5Kansas at NC State • FINAL24-11 • 20-14Final Score: Kansas 77-76 NC State
NC State 57.4%Kansas 42.6%
76-79154.1NC State -2.9Nebraska at Illinois • FINAL28-7 • 28-9Final Score: Nebraska 83-80 Illinois
Illinois 82.7%Nebraska 17.3%
69-80148.9Illinois -10.1South Carolina State at Queens University • FINAL10-22 • 21-14Final Score: South Carolina State 78-102 Queens University
Queens University 94.6%South Carolina State 5.4%
71-90160.6Queens University -18.7Missouri State at Xavier • FINAL16-18 • 15-18Final Score: Missouri State 57-75 Xavier
Xavier 58.2%Missouri State 41.8%
77-80156.7Xavier -2.6Maryland Eastern Shore at North Carolina A&T • FINAL9-23 • 11-19Final Score: Maryland Eastern Shore 79-82 North Carolina A&T
North Carolina A&T 82.4%Maryland Eastern Shore 17.6%
67-77144.5North Carolina A&T -9.9East Tennessee State at Austin Peay • FINAL23-11 • 22-9Final Score: East Tennessee State 75-76 Austin Peay
Austin Peay 55.5%East Tennessee State 44.5%
75-78153.1Austin Peay -2.5East Texas A&M at McNeese • FINAL11-21 • 27-6Final Score: East Texas A&M 66-102 McNeese
McNeese 97.5%East Texas A&M 2.5%
60-84144.0McNeese -23.6California Baptist at Eastern Washington • FINAL25-9 • 14-19Final Score: California Baptist 88-83 Eastern Washington
California Baptist 54.0%Eastern Washington 46.0%
76-74150.2California Baptist -1.3UC Santa Barbara at Utah Valley • FINAL18-14 • 25-9Final Score: UC Santa Barbara 53-68 Utah Valley
Utah Valley 79.7%UC Santa Barbara 20.3%
71-81151.4Utah Valley -10.2Illinois State at Utah State • FINAL23-13 • 29-7Final Score: Illinois State 78-83 Utah State
Utah State 85.6%Illinois State 14.4%
69-81149.4Utah State -11.6UAlbany at Florida Atlantic • FINAL11-20 • 18-15Final Score: UAlbany 79-105 Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic 83.1%UAlbany 16.9%
68-79147.3Florida Atlantic -11.1Massachusetts at Florida State • FINAL17-16 • 18-15Final Score: Massachusetts 103-95 Florida State
Florida State 78.8%Massachusetts 21.2%
77-85162.1Florida State -8.1DePaul at Wichita State • FINAL16-16 • 24-12Final Score: DePaul 61-58 Wichita State
Wichita State 89.6%DePaul 10.4%
66-79144.9Wichita State -13.7Central Michigan at Stony Brook • FINAL10-21 • 17-15Final Score: Central Michigan 55-78 Stony Brook
Stony Brook 69.0%Central Michigan 31.0%
70-77147.7Stony Brook -6.9UL Monroe at Miami • FINAL4-28 • 26-9Final Score: UL Monroe 79-104 Miami
Miami 98.7%UL Monroe 1.3%
64-94157.8Miami -29.3Old Dominion at George Mason • FINAL12-21 • 23-10Final Score: Old Dominion 61-73 George Mason
George Mason 82.9%Old Dominion 17.1%
69-80149.0George Mason -11.5Northern Illinois at Elon • FINAL9-21 • 14-18Final Score: Northern Illinois 79-85 Elon
Elon 91.1%Northern Illinois 8.9%
70-85154.1Elon -15.0Toledo at Robert Morris • FINAL19-15 • 22-11Final Score: Toledo 70-75 Robert Morris
Robert Morris 55.7%Toledo 44.3%
77-80156.3Robert Morris -2.7Oklahoma at Oklahoma State • FINAL21-16 • 20-15Final Score: Oklahoma 85-76 Oklahoma State
Oklahoma 61.0%Oklahoma State 39.0%
85-84169.2Oklahoma -1.4Cal State Northridge at Delaware • FINAL20-14 • 10-21Final Score: Cal State Northridge 88-66 Delaware
Cal State Northridge 65.4%Delaware 34.6%
79-75153.9Cal State Northridge -3.3St. Thomas-Minnesota at UNC Asheville • FINAL24-10 • 15-17Final Score: St. Thomas-Minnesota 80-59 UNC Asheville
St. Thomas-Minnesota 71.0%UNC Asheville 29.0%
78-73151.8St. Thomas-Minnesota -4.8Western Illinois at North Dakota • FINAL5-26 • 18-17Final Score: Western Illinois 69-66 North Dakota
North Dakota 92.4%Western Illinois 7.6%
66-83149.2North Dakota -16.3North Dakota State at Drake • FINAL27-8 • 14-20Final Score: North Dakota State 99-94 Drake
North Dakota State 71.0%Drake 29.0%
79-74152.3North Dakota State -5.1Jacksonville State at Georgia State • FINAL15-17 • 10-22Final Score: Jacksonville State 73-77 Georgia State
Jacksonville State 70.3%Georgia State 29.7%
74-69143.4Jacksonville State -4.6Jackson State at Northwestern • FINAL12-21 • 15-19Final Score: Jackson State 53-93 Northwestern
Northwestern 96.3%Jackson State 3.7%
65-87151.7Northwestern -21.8Boston University at Dartmouth • FINAL16-18 • 11-16Final Score: Boston University 64-77 Dartmouth
Boston University 62.1%Dartmouth 37.9%
77-76153.4Boston University -1.0Sacred Heart at NJIT • FINAL14-19 • 16-17Final Score: Sacred Heart 65-49 NJIT
NJIT 54.1%Sacred Heart 45.9%
73-74147.0NJIT -1.5Northern Kentucky at Bellarmine • FINAL20-14 • 13-19Final Score: Northern Kentucky 80-76 Bellarmine
Northern Kentucky 62.1%Bellarmine 37.9%
85-81166.2Northern Kentucky -3.3Providence at Butler • FINAL15-18 • 16-16Final Score: Providence 110-113 Butler
Butler 58.5%Providence 41.5%
82-86168.3Butler -3.5Manhattan at Fordham • FINAL12-20 • 17-15Final Score: Manhattan 53-82 Fordham
Fordham 85.0%Manhattan 15.0%
66-79144.5Fordham -13.0UMass Lowell at Quinnipiac • FINAL15-18 • 19-13Final Score: UMass Lowell 71-75 Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac 78.8%UMass Lowell 21.2%
71-80151.1Quinnipiac -9.7Mercyhurst at Davidson • FINAL17-17 • 20-14Final Score: Mercyhurst 47-80 Davidson
Davidson 79.3%Mercyhurst 20.7%
64-73137.4Davidson -8.9Cincinnati at Georgia • FINAL18-15 • 22-11Final Score: Cincinnati 65-84 Georgia
Georgia 69.0%Cincinnati 31.0%
76-82157.8Georgia -6.7Evansville at Notre Dame • FINAL7-25 • 13-17Final Score: Evansville 58-82 Notre Dame
Notre Dame 92.6%Evansville 7.4%
66-82148.3Notre Dame -16.2Canisius at Maine • FINAL10-21 • 8-24Final Score: Canisius 70-43 Maine
Maine 66.8%Canisius 33.2%
62-67129.8Maine -5.2Prairie View A&M at South Dakota • FINAL19-18 • 16-16Final Score: Prairie View A&M 85-97 South Dakota
South Dakota 68.0%Prairie View A&M 32.0%
78-83161.1South Dakota -4.9Saint Peter's at Georgetown • FINAL17-12 • 13-18Final Score: Saint Peter's 68-76 Georgetown
Georgetown 72.2%Saint Peter's 27.8%
64-70134.4Georgetown -6.0Miami (OH) at Eastern Kentucky • FINAL32-2 • 11-21Final Score: Miami (OH) 79-69 Eastern Kentucky
Miami (OH) 77.4%Eastern Kentucky 22.6%
89-80169.0Miami (OH) -8.3Tulsa at New Mexico State • FINAL30-8 • 16-16Final Score: Tulsa 83-70 New Mexico State
Tulsa 73.2%New Mexico State 26.8%
80-75155.5Tulsa -5.3Hampton at Howard • FINAL13-19 • 24-11Final Score: Hampton 57-61 Howard
Howard 88.4%Hampton 11.6%
65-79144.3Howard -13.4Southern Miss at Ole Miss • FINAL19-16 • 15-20Final Score: Southern Miss 67-71 Ole Miss
Ole Miss 70.2%Southern Miss 29.8%
73-79152.4Ole Miss -5.8Delaware State at Longwood • FINAL8-22 • 16-16Final Score: Delaware State 81-76 Longwood
Longwood 93.3%Delaware State 6.7%
61-78139.0Longwood -17.2Louisiana at Louisiana Tech • FINAL11-22 • 20-14Final Score: Louisiana 44-65 Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech 86.0%Louisiana 14.0%
60-73132.9Louisiana Tech -13.1Arkansas State at Rice • FINAL20-12 • 13-18Final Score: Arkansas State 76-77 Rice
Arkansas State 71.0%Rice 29.0%
81-76157.4Arkansas State -4.5UNC Wilmington at Valparaiso • FINAL27-7 • 18-15Final Score: UNC Wilmington 73-70 Valparaiso
UNC Wilmington 62.9%Valparaiso 37.1%
74-71144.4UNC Wilmington -2.9Mercer at Clemson • FINAL19-13 • 24-10Final Score: Mercer 63-70 Clemson
Clemson 76.0%Mercer 24.0%
70-78148.2Clemson -7.7UIC at Belmont • FINAL19-16 • 26-6Final Score: UIC 84-87 Belmont
Belmont 74.6%UIC 25.4%
73-81153.9Belmont -8.2UC Davis at Oregon • FINAL19-14 • 12-19Final Score: UC Davis 62-104 Oregon
Oregon 63.8%UC Davis 36.2%
74-77150.6Oregon -3.4Cal State Fullerton at Denver • FINAL18-16 • 15-17Final Score: Cal State Fullerton 105-86 Denver
Denver 61.7%Cal State Fullerton 38.3%
84-87171.4Denver -3.2Murray State at Akron • FINAL20-13 • 29-6Final Score: Murray State 115-100 Akron
Akron 86.6%Murray State 13.4%
77-91167.7Akron -13.3UTSA at Colorado • FINAL5-25 • 17-16Final Score: UTSA 64-88 Colorado
Colorado 95.2%UTSA 4.8%
69-89158.3Colorado -19.5Hofstra at Syracuse • FINAL24-11 • 15-16Final Score: Hofstra 70-69 Syracuse
Hofstra 57.0%Syracuse 43.0%
74-73146.5Hofstra -0.9Marist at Bryant • FINAL19-12 • 9-22Final Score: Marist 82-74 Bryant
Marist 79.8%Bryant 20.2%
71-63133.9Marist -8.5Niagara at Morgan State • FINAL8-22 • 14-16Final Score: Niagara 73-81 Morgan State
Morgan State 66.0%Niagara 34.0%
70-75144.9Morgan State -5.1Central Connecticut at Binghamton • FINAL18-12 • 8-22Final Score: Central Connecticut 84-67 Binghamton
Central Connecticut 69.6%Binghamton 30.4%
73-68141.1Central Connecticut -4.8La Salle at Long Island University • FINAL9-23 • 24-11Final Score: La Salle 60-70 Long Island University
Long Island University 81.8%La Salle 18.2%
67-77143.6Long Island University -10.6Pittsburgh at Villanova • FINAL13-20 • 24-9Final Score: Pittsburgh 61-79 Villanova
Villanova 81.8%Pittsburgh 18.2%
68-78146.2Villanova -10.7SE Louisiana at Houston Christian • FINAL9-21 • 12-20Final Score: SE Louisiana 74-71 Houston Christian
Houston Christian 64.5%SE Louisiana 35.5%
65-69133.3Houston Christian -4.2Montana State at Oregon State • FINAL18-14 • 17-16Final Score: Montana State 57-67 Oregon State
Montana State 51.5%Oregon State 48.5%
75-74148.6Montana State -0.7Northwestern State at California • FINAL10-21 • 22-12Final Score: Northwestern State 70-79 California
California 90.0%Northwestern State 10.0%
65-79143.8California -14.7St. Bonaventure at Ohio • FINAL17-17 • 15-17Final Score: St. Bonaventure 83-88 Ohio
St. Bonaventure 50.6%Ohio 49.4%
78-79156.5Ohio -0.5Northern Arizona at San Diego • FINAL10-22 • 12-21Final Score: Northern Arizona 69-78 San Diego
San Diego 69.7%Northern Arizona 30.3%
73-79152.1San Diego -6.3Southern Utah at Washington • FINAL10-22 • 16-17Final Score: Southern Utah 69-105 Washington
Washington 91.3%Southern Utah 8.7%
70-86156.1Washington -15.4Oakland at Northern Iowa • FINAL16-16 • 23-13Final Score: Oakland 63-75 Northern Iowa
Northern Iowa 80.9%Oakland 19.1%
69-80148.7Northern Iowa -10.5Southern Illinois at Richmond • FINAL16-16 • 15-17Final Score: Southern Illinois 84-93 Richmond
Richmond 50.5%Southern Illinois 49.5%
73-75147.8Richmond -1.3Mount St. Mary's at Loyola Maryland • FINAL15-17 • 12-20Final Score: Mount St. Mary's 81-73 Loyola Maryland
Loyola Maryland 57.7%Mount St. Mary's 42.3%
72-74145.9Loyola Maryland -2.9Central Arkansas at Vanderbilt • FINAL22-12 • 27-9Final Score: Central Arkansas 72-83 Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt 89.7%Central Arkansas 10.3%
74-88162.1Vanderbilt -14.2Wright State at Marshall • FINAL23-12 • 19-13Final Score: Wright State 74-76 Marshall
Wright State 51.5%Marshall 48.5%
80-80160.3Marshall -0.7THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.