THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Cal State Northridge at Stanford • FINAL20-14 • 20-13Final Score: Cal State Northridge 80-88 Stanford
Stanford 82.3%Cal State Northridge 17.7%
74-84158.5Stanford -9.6
Winthrop at Texas Tech • FINAL23-11 • 23-11Final Score: Winthrop 57-87 Texas Tech
Texas Tech 82.9%Winthrop 17.1%
75-85159.8Texas Tech -9.7
Pacific at San Diego • FINAL18-15 • 12-21Final Score: Pacific 54-66 San Diego
Pacific 64.2%San Diego 35.8%
76-72148.2Pacific -3.2
UL Monroe at Kansas State • FINAL4-28 • 12-20Final Score: UL Monroe 85-94 Kansas State
Kansas State 91.0%UL Monroe 9.0%
74-90163.1Kansas State -16.1
Columbia at North Florida • FINAL16-12 • 7-25Final Score: Columbia 90-82 North Florida
Columbia 77.4%North Florida 22.6%
85-77161.9Columbia -8.5
Le Moyne at Boston College • FINAL15-17 • 11-20Final Score: Le Moyne 64-72 Boston College
Boston College 67.3%Le Moyne 32.7%
68-74142.1Boston College -5.2
Harvard at Colgate • FINAL17-12 • 18-15Final Score: Harvard 78-69 Colgate
Colgate 52.1%Harvard 47.9%
71-73144.2Colgate -1.3
Liberty at Florida International • FINAL26-8 • 15-17Final Score: Liberty 97-94 Florida International
Florida International 53.5%Liberty 46.5%
77-79156.6Florida International -1.7
Norfolk State at Louisiana • FINAL15-17 • 11-22Final Score: Norfolk State 54-63 Louisiana
Norfolk State 51.5%Louisiana 48.5%
71-71142.2Norfolk State -0.2
Northern Colorado at Colorado • FINAL20-12 • 17-16Final Score: Northern Colorado 86-81 Colorado
Colorado 59.8%Northern Colorado 40.2%
81-83163.8Colorado -2.7
Cal State Fullerton at SMU • FINAL18-16 • 20-14Final Score: Cal State Fullerton 63-110 SMU
SMU 87.7%Cal State Fullerton 12.3%
78-91168.8SMU -13.2
Charleston Southern at Richmond • FINAL15-17 • 15-17Final Score: Charleston Southern 77-72 Richmond
Richmond 69.2%Charleston Southern 30.8%
78-83160.9Richmond -5.5
Washington State at Portland • FINAL12-20 • 15-19Final Score: Washington State 67-62 Portland
Washington State 54.0%Portland 46.0%
78-78156.1Portland -0.1
Pennsylvania at George Mason • FINAL18-12 • 23-10Final Score: Pennsylvania 79-83 George Mason
George Mason 72.0%Pennsylvania 28.0%
70-77146.7George Mason -7.3
Santa Clara at Oregon State • FINAL26-9 • 17-16Final Score: Santa Clara 102-64 Oregon State
Santa Clara 78.9%Oregon State 21.1%
81-72152.5Santa Clara -8.5
Old Dominion at Maryland • FINAL12-21 • 12-20Final Score: Old Dominion 58-73 Maryland
Maryland 54.1%Old Dominion 45.9%
75-77151.7Maryland -1.8
Florida A&M at Georgia Tech • FINAL14-16 • 11-20Final Score: Florida A&M 65-89 Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech 69.7%Florida A&M 30.3%
71-78149.1Georgia Tech -6.6
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.