#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Cal State Northridge at Stanford • FINAL20-14 • 20-13Final Score: Cal State Northridge 80-88 Stanford
Stanford 82.3%Cal State Northridge 17.7%
74-84158.5Stanford -9.6Winthrop at Texas Tech • FINAL23-11 • 23-11Final Score: Winthrop 57-87 Texas Tech
Texas Tech 82.9%Winthrop 17.1%
75-85159.8Texas Tech -9.7Pacific at San Diego • FINAL18-15 • 12-21Final Score: Pacific 54-66 San Diego
Pacific 64.2%San Diego 35.8%
76-72148.2Pacific -3.2UL Monroe at Kansas State • FINAL4-28 • 12-20Final Score: UL Monroe 85-94 Kansas State
Kansas State 91.0%UL Monroe 9.0%
74-90163.1Kansas State -16.1Columbia at North Florida • FINAL16-12 • 7-25Final Score: Columbia 90-82 North Florida
Columbia 77.4%North Florida 22.6%
85-77161.9Columbia -8.5Le Moyne at Boston College • FINAL15-17 • 11-20Final Score: Le Moyne 64-72 Boston College
Boston College 67.3%Le Moyne 32.7%
68-74142.1Boston College -5.2Harvard at Colgate • FINAL17-12 • 18-15Final Score: Harvard 78-69 Colgate
Colgate 52.1%Harvard 47.9%
71-73144.2Colgate -1.3Liberty at Florida International • FINAL26-8 • 15-17Final Score: Liberty 97-94 Florida International
Florida International 53.5%Liberty 46.5%
77-79156.6Florida International -1.7Norfolk State at Louisiana • FINAL15-17 • 11-22Final Score: Norfolk State 54-63 Louisiana
Norfolk State 51.5%Louisiana 48.5%
71-71142.2Norfolk State -0.2Northern Colorado at Colorado • FINAL20-12 • 17-16Final Score: Northern Colorado 86-81 Colorado
Colorado 59.8%Northern Colorado 40.2%
81-83163.8Colorado -2.7Cal State Fullerton at SMU • FINAL18-16 • 20-14Final Score: Cal State Fullerton 63-110 SMU
SMU 87.7%Cal State Fullerton 12.3%
78-91168.8SMU -13.2Charleston Southern at Richmond • FINAL15-17 • 15-17Final Score: Charleston Southern 77-72 Richmond
Richmond 69.2%Charleston Southern 30.8%
78-83160.9Richmond -5.5Washington State at Portland • FINAL12-20 • 15-19Final Score: Washington State 67-62 Portland
Washington State 54.0%Portland 46.0%
78-78156.1Portland -0.1Pennsylvania at George Mason • FINAL18-12 • 23-10Final Score: Pennsylvania 79-83 George Mason
George Mason 72.0%Pennsylvania 28.0%
70-77146.7George Mason -7.3Santa Clara at Oregon State • FINAL26-9 • 17-16Final Score: Santa Clara 102-64 Oregon State
Santa Clara 78.9%Oregon State 21.1%
81-72152.5Santa Clara -8.5Old Dominion at Maryland • FINAL12-21 • 12-20Final Score: Old Dominion 58-73 Maryland
Maryland 54.1%Old Dominion 45.9%
75-77151.7Maryland -1.8Florida A&M at Georgia Tech • FINAL14-16 • 11-20Final Score: Florida A&M 65-89 Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech 69.7%Florida A&M 30.3%
71-78149.1Georgia Tech -6.6THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.